April 26, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zap Zap Zap | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | T Loves a Fight | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Equal the Score | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Professor Snape | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nolinski | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsum Johnny | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Redyornothereicome | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stabilize | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Brown Cat | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrens Vengeance | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Infatuation | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Style | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Rattle the Stars | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mary’s Girl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queendom | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trailblazer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Salsa Bella (FR) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | South of the Shore | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Storm Rising | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Kreesie | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Helen’s Tiger | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Vortex Road | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | War Canoe | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crater Rim | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bella Via Mi Amor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Low Is Laine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Joule | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love That Goose | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Topline | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Homemade | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ferncourt | 50.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | La Bella Chica | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 1 | Whyisshesoolucky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Don’t Rush | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Excess Capacity | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | She’s Primo | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brass Ring | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Floss Dancer | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Avalina | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Bennys Tribute | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Jazzy J | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Diet | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Amarone | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Athary (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Beau Belle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lido Key | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Saffira | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 4 | Safta | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Morelikelythannot | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Nonsensical | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 2 | Know Point Given | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Midnight Party | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Sander’s Empire | 50.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mizzen Max | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Break Curfew | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Babe | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Retort | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It Justhitthe Wire | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Takecharge Mirella | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gypsy Janie | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Affirmed Success S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Lute | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tribecca | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Pat On the Back | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bavaro | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Syndergaard | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Chaos | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eye Luv Lulu | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sudden Surprise | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Chiclet’s Dream | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ailish | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | My Last Million | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Drynachan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Puparee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | She’s Dreamin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tradeable | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 9 | Orchid Party | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Turn and Bern | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Questeq | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Passporttovictory | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anne’s Song | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | Wadadli Princess | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Maiden Beauty | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Sarahrini | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Intoxicologist | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.