Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 27, 2019

April 27, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Preferred Guest 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Bridlewise 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Jack’s Memory 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Audrey Grace 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Quietly Quick 6.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spring Edition 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 In View 1.40 1.3 2-1
1.4 3-1
2 1 Poquito Bandito 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 True Dat 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Alicia’s Kid 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Capoeira 12.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tobruk 2.00 1.1 2-1
1.6 3-1
5 5 Moon Doggie 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Majestic Heist 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Jimmies Truck 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Holtz 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Whole 8.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blueblood 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Salieri 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Carmenootz 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Silent Jimmie 4.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Alacritous 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Ben Lomond 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Gasconade 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Speeding Bullet 20.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Danielle 2.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Conquest Bad Girl 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Typically 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Mine Fast Philly 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Rexdale 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Black Sage 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Biddy Early 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Lilibet 10.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Slydini 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Pink Scribbles 1.20 1.6 3-1
1 1 Souper Pecan 12.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Bonnie Lee 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Secret Affirmation 12.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Sayso 6.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shakhimat 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Sweet Little Man 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Colonel Samsen 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Fire for Effect 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Town Classic 12.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Cooler Mike 8.00 3 6-1
8 8 Aheadbyacentury 8.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Silent Sting 12.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Woodstock S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiz Breathtaking 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Keon 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 The Boss Factor 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Corduroy Road 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 All American Hero 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Yes I Am Free 2.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 Powell 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Souper Success 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Hesathriller 20.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Heydon’s Case 1.00 1 2-1
7 7 Butilovesyababe 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Perlarana 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Holysnapeneyeballs 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Leo the Rabbit 12.00 3 6-1
1 1 Dot’s Vision 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Smoky Blues 20.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Constantino 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Kitchen Fire 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Colleen’s Sailor 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Kitten’s Solution 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Court Battle 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 R U Watchingbud 10.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Mister Nada 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Bangor Ridge 12.00 4.1 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.