April 27, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Preferred Guest | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bridlewise | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack’s Memory | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Audrey Grace | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quietly Quick | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spring Edition | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | In View | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1.4 | 3-1 | |||||
| 2 | 1 | Poquito Bandito | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | True Dat | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alicia’s Kid | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Capoeira | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tobruk | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1.6 | 3-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Moon Doggie | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Heist | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jimmies Truck | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holtz | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whole | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blueblood | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salieri | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carmenootz | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Jimmie | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alacritous | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ben Lomond | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gasconade | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speeding Bullet | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Danielle | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Bad Girl | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Typically | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mine Fast Philly | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rexdale | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Sage | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Biddy Early | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lilibet | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Slydini | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pink Scribbles | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Pecan | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonnie Lee | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Affirmation | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sayso | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shakhimat | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Little Man | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Samsen | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fire for Effect | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Town Classic | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cooler Mike | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aheadbyacentury | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Sting | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Woodstock S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Breathtaking | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Keon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | The Boss Factor | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Corduroy Road | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All American Hero | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yes I Am Free | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Powell | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Success | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hesathriller | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heydon’s Case | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Butilovesyababe | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perlarana | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holysnapeneyeballs | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leo the Rabbit | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dot’s Vision | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smoky Blues | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Constantino | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitchen Fire | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colleen’s Sailor | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Solution | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Court Battle | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R U Watchingbud | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Nada | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bangor Ridge | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.