May 1, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brontide | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Easy Doc | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lorenzo T | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Ocean Run | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rl Fun for Jess | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Foxy Chic | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Addyson Lee | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Fast Runaway | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Logans Bux | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jm Partyin | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Velvets Moonflash | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fahgettaboudit | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fjr Anudder Butter | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hez a Fast Flash | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ld Sassy First Prize | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Canselman | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salute Wave Carver | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fabulous Rainbow | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tv Toast to Game | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | A Certified Heart | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dashin Illusively | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Special Crown Romeo | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sovereign Diamonds | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | That Is Spot On | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twn Perrys Law | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bt Patriot | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Twn Dalaws Kandy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Toast to Max | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Malachi de Golfrey | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hips Won | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Feature the Pipes | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B Yon Da Clouds | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Basic Instincts | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Texmex Jess Cartel | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dela Bush | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sheza Magic Glimpse | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beau Jackson | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Lighting | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jla Live Action | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zoomin for Chablis | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alas Caliente | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rulez of Engagement | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tf a Special Runaway | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | La Mos Azul | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tf Seperatin | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Buckk Wheatt | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bigtime Bammie | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Caliente | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ainsleys Rocket | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gt Sweet N Fast | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hez Toast | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gbh Jetspecial | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Plum Agouti | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ettas Lil Jet | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She Flys Bye You | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sheza Stoli Panther | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Miss Patriot | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dianetogetanywhere | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Msm Another Patriot | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess a Sizzlin Love | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Je Suis Leprix | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rios Clarablue | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Above the Bar | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tetris B | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ahs Uncle Si | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyondthecos | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shonuff Mvp | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lennys Cashandchrome | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Game On Vince | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gbh Fast Wave | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vf My Favorite Chick | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flatfoot Walker | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Storm Hunter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Magic Piloto Man | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | House Pool | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lachule Pyc | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Desert Streak | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mardi Gras Prize | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reno 14 | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream of a Symphony | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stolin Past | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tonnus | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kamls Gurl | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patriot On Fire | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stolis Achievements | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Dashing Diva | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zoomin for Joe | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fun an Sexy | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caliente Caller | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Lillys Dream | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.