Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 2, 2019

May 2, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Colman Joseph (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Zaya 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Decider 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Cold Warrior 4.50 1.8 3-1
5 4 I Turn a Night Up 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 5 Reagan’s Heart 15.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Touch of Quality 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 First Appeal 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Summer Frock 4.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Ice Show 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Awesomendensome 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Bar Libre (IRE) 20.00 2.5 5-1
7 5 Miss Lamborghini 6.00 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cotton House 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Brilliant Light 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Big Alex 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Curioso 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Grisaceo 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Zaman 15.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Venezuela 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Vicky Apple 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Monja 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Bally Squall 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Aurora Nation 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Treste Kanta 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Bode Baby 5.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Broadcast Time 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Starship Pinnacle 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 My Man Mike 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Shanghai Levi 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Miss Paddy 20.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 McBride 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Fried Plantaine 15.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sea Rummy Run 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Britesideoftheroad 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lillie’s Heat 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Karenina 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Red Hot Kitten 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Miss Mariu 10.00 SCRATCH
4 1 Helen 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 2 Courtesy Notice 4.00 1.6 3-1
7 3 Salsita Roja 10.00 1.9 4-1
10 5 Princess Gaby 12.00 2.6 5-1
11 6 I Like Archie 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 4 Bargainaire 20.00 2.9 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chicle Sparks 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Solid as a Rock 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Filly Jean King 4.50 1.9 4-1
8 7 Bosworthy 1.40 2.1 4-1
3 3 Treasure Cat 12.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Sansa 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Silver Tunes 20.00 3 6-1
6 5 Poseidons Heir 12.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Avocado Toast 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mercurial Miss 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Nilestar 2.50 1.3 3-1
4 2 Blue Eyed Beth 10.00 1.9 4-1
7 5 Subsidiary 3.00 2 4-1
5 3 Miss Claudia 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 4 Distinctly Blue 4.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Golden Tap 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 R Caribbean Queen 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Queen Soldat 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sunset Summer 6.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Uncaptured Angel 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 3 Forever Marta 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 1 Love Bomb 15.00 1.7 3-1
7 4 Kindhearted Kota 12.00 2.4 5-1
9 5 Tennessee Cotton 4.50 2.5 5-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.