May 3, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Blue Amour |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
La Estrellita Cash |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fast Dashing Curl |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Walker Dashair |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jj Push the Perry |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fast Lolo |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mswandas Fastdash |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Cavallo Dei |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jiggs Moment |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Sizzlin Flare |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Tm Dees Shine |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Mr Desert Streak |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
First in My Class |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Streak of Music |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Look to Monte Cristo |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Agoutis Snowplow |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dashing With Courage |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blue Got Game |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Jj Will U B Mine |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Teller Im Quick |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Krash N Diamonds |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Kashs Bar Habits |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
8 |
Ks Stonewall Jackson |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Blue Corona High |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Shakin Blues |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Brother Im Fast |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Js Boldini |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Cc Fancy Girl |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Dolls Regal Doc |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Cazorla |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr Angels |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jrs Arunawayeffort |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cuervo for Mygirls |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blue Eyed Cartel |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Truely Leavin You |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Nanas Leaving You |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
First Ladybug Doc |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Call to Action |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Royal Renegade |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Barjaxs |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Louisiana Val |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Junie Blue |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jewels Got Game |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Dashing Coors |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Leaving in a Rush |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Runaways Attitude |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
All About That Cash |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rwd Worth the Weight |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Shaken the Blues |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Tf Chics Lajolla |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hosmer |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hempen Fast Cash |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Teentoast |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rebas Fast Prize |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jets Wide Open |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
One Sweet Corina |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Darlene Shez Flying |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Jess a Runaway Blaze |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tf El Patron |
4.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Toast to Jet Black |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hush Up and Kiss Me |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Corona Crazy |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stylinandprofilin |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jess Black and Blue |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jet Black Who |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Point Break Country |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rh Jess Momo |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sheza Piloto Habit |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jet Jessy |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Who He Me |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lil Boo |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Powerhouse Cartel |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jess a Swinging Star |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bayou Vodka |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hez Fast Yall |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tk Jumpn Blue |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blueaway Cartel |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Itsaselfishgame |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Contessa Ruby |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seeyaontheotherside |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Executive Yolo |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Fast Prize Jewel |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Jrs Freecrownforall |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Keep Diva N Diamonds |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Bush Tempo |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Pm Zuppardo |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sheza Leavin You |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ttt Knight Warrior |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jetin Wyatt |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
One Famous Patriot |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sisters Anywhere |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Neesie |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Igotyourfast |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Go Little Vick Cash |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tf Trumph That |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Respect the Corona |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.