May 4, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Landrys Reign |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
All N for Cash |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
1 |
Ajs Wild N Fast |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Text Me Doc |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Stole My Beauty |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Stolis Chick |
10.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Hez Dashing Ok |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Frankli Starlette |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Ttt Black Mamba |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Tg Onehondred Stars |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Sizzle Baby Sizzle |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tf Fast Flyin Chic |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tf High Flyin Dash |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lrh Jet Black |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ttt Precious Memory |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pilotos Toy |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bye Bye Agouti |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eyewantbux |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sc Milo |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hollywood Dasher |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pk Fast Kisses |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Makemelikaferarri |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ttt Lucero Blanco |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Toast the Game |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kall to Duty |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Silence Ta Dash |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jrs Speed Fantasy |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Royal Jet Black |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rs Easy Cash |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Delta 550 S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Volcom Royalty |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Bjs Magic Wings |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Struttinmyjewelsoff |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Sixes Flash |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1A |
7 |
Im Mighty Fast |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Stone Cold Leader |
1.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Jes a Spitfire |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Ww Showtime |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sir Runaway Cash |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nsm Ice Storm |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Afourleafclover |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rf Stolionthedelta |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Royalcrownandcorona |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fly the Eagle |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Arzon |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jess Kool It |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jet Black Gigolo |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jf Cash Fantasy |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Patriots Cartel |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moonlight and You |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swingin Beduino |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eye Heart Blue |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sheza Dashin Cash |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brew for Two |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dashing Red Lexus |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hezafastbaby |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
B and G Sweet Jet |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Cajun Cos |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Appolitical Black |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Deisel Freight Train |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jess Runawaytogether |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gipson P |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Apolitical Mess |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Betelgeuse |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fire Cat Sm |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heisasgoodasheis |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ellepradas Jumbo Jet |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
First Jess Cartel |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
9 |
Mh Regardless |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
The Cazador |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
One Quick Wagon |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
5 |
Straw Bux |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Perrys Jumpn Beduino |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fit for First |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
3 |
Da Pool Do |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tk Zoomaway |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Packin a Punch |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bjs Joyful Fantasy |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Runaway With Mee |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
2 |
Adored Pilot |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
3 |
Sir Eye Opener |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
7 |
Jet Black Secret |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
6 |
Gp Won Special Cooki |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
1 |
Ace Black Patriot |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
10 |
8 |
Sue Is My Name |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Jess Louisiana Boo |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
4 |
Juanitas First Game |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mps Triple Funnyface |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Mightey Mouse |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
1 |
Jw Naughty Girl |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Fastdown |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Yo Bo |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Quick Ocean Runaway |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Jls Real Cos |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Tempting Velvet |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Living Alaska |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Cold Shiner Bock |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.