May 4, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Luz Estrella | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Galileo’s Affair | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Schmiss | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cotton Tooyah | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motion’s First | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Girl | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kittian Hill | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Graydar’s Resolve | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lefty Comming | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Simmardstrike | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Goforthegusto | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Good Old Boy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lookin Forever | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | America’s Simmard | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Ranger’s Coming | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Homedrill | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Osvaldo | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Fulgencio | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | All About Hay | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Unscattered | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yansa | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Driving Marhill | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Freight Train Lane | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buenamoza | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Twosexyforyou | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Can’ttakeitwithyou | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mosca | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Power Walker | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Areyoutalkingtome | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr. Pinocchio | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shidoshi | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Arpinella | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cadillac Kitten | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wigwam Summer | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Inhibition | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dizzy Gillespie | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie the Greek | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | To Dare | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Chaplin | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rock You | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Takedown | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chiseled | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Scam | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Magic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mr Joshua | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Zippy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Souper Catch | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maniacal | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wingman | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Green Mansions | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cheyenne’s Colonel | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Titochip | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bagwell | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Marnesia One Step | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosas for Jimmy | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | All Star Seiler | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | T’s Southern Dude | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yesus Star | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Congrats This | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Red Sea | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mysterio | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Uncle Yolanda | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Molokai Night | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Taranto | 1.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Moment | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stuck With You | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outside Lookin In | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Beam | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maturin | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C C’s Freedom | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wall of Stone | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leaveittoquay | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eclipsed Moon | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juan and Bina | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Letters | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Schweets | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mass Approval | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pirate’s Treasure | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kid Mac Cool | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manhattan Project | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | More Illusions | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brandt | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Honey Ryder S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Malibu Rainbow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Perspire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Panther Hit | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Devious Charm | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bello Porte | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Itsmyluckycharm | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Trenchtown Cat | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Vow to Recover | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Don’t Make Fun | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Peaceful Feeling | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scat Mommy | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Violent Trick | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Indicia | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sun Summers | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jessica | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Prerogative | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Return the Favor | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eva’s Gift | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calinas Song | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noncents | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adamant | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – English Channel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Red Fog | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Best Chance Yet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Art G Is Back | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scraps | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vow Me Now | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea of Hope | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sharetheblame | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Timmy M. | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Higgins | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bad to the Core (FR) | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stirling Drive | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.