May 4, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Littleroughjustice | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | In Gus We Trust | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Travolta | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kyslios’s Justice | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Piccadilly Beau | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cepelinas | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tahana | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Count Forest | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Station Rock | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Areocentric | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Farfalla | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Snell Flicka | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Neverquitdreaming | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cordero (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dupes | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Bella | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bourbon Extension | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Goldminer | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strike Revenge | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Split My Pants | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie’s Gamble | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tale of Vienna | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flight Deck | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Injaazaat | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blu Without You | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Calais Cat | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Beauty | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ekati Peace | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Annie Go Lightly | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stokes | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Piper’s Sky | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Affair | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Roman Nomen | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dave the Dude | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Uncle Drew | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jordans Way | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wincredible Star | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Rated Breeze | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mary of Scotts | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Banana Rama | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mad Slam | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muskoka Suzie | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mollytara | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish You Luck | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shishka | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen Andher Court | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mahone Bay | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jacques Cartier S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Yorkton | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pink Lloyd | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s Honor | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Wally | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eskiminzin | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Decorated Soldier | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Circle of Friends | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ikerrin Road (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wyatt’s Town | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Extravagant Kid | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Conquest Panthera | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glacier | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Seattle Treasure | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Analyzer | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canmore | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unbounded Spirit | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Absolution | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itstartswithadrink | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth Talk | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Glittering Snow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sailing By | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Planet | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Notice Me | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crumlin Time | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moksgmol | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blezniatka | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Classy Vision | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Falcon’s View | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.