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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 4, 2019

May 4, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Littleroughjustice 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 In Gus We Trust 15.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Travolta 1.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Kyslios’s Justice 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Piccadilly Beau 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Cepelinas 20.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tahana 1.60 1.6 3-1
2 2 Count Forest 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Station Rock 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Areocentric 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Farfalla 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Snell Flicka 10.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Neverquitdreaming 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cordero (IRE) 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Dupes 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lady Bella 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Bourbon Extension 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Majestic Goldminer 8.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Strike Revenge 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Split My Pants 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Dixie’s Gamble 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Tale of Vienna 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Flight Deck 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Injaazaat 15.00 3 6-1
3 3 Blu Without You 12.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Calais Cat 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Classic Beauty 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Ekati Peace 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Annie Go Lightly 3.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Stokes 15.00 3 6-1
7 7 Piper’s Sky 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Lunar Affair 10.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Roman Nomen 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Dave the Dude 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Our Uncle Drew 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Jordans Way 15.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Wincredible Star 3.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 A Rated Breeze 15.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mary of Scotts 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Banana Rama 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Mad Slam 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Muskoka Suzie 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Mollytara 20.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Irish You Luck 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Shishka 8.00 2.9 6-1
9 8 Queen Andher Court 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Mahone Bay 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jacques Cartier S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Yorkton 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Pink Lloyd 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Curlin’s Honor 20.00 3 6-1
3 3 Call Me Wally 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Eskiminzin 20.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Decorated Soldier 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Circle of Friends 15.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Wyatt’s Town 15.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Extravagant Kid 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Conquest Panthera 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Glacier 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Seattle Treasure 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Analyzer 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Canmore 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Unbounded Spirit 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Absolution 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Itstartswithadrink 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Smooth Talk 10.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Glittering Snow 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sailing By 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Soul Planet 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 6 Notice Me 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Crumlin Time 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Moksgmol 20.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Blezniatka 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Classy Vision 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Falcon’s View 20.00 3.9 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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