Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 5, 2019

May 5, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sunfest 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Somethingfancy 1.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Flagged 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Cowgirl Up 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Spicy Curry 12.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Allison 8.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Emoticon 1.80 1.9 4-1
3 3 Burntwood 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Recanted 20.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Shotmaster 1.60 2.7 5-1
7 7 Sir Sidney 20.00 2.9 5-1
5A 5 Zipped Code 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Flying Rocket 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Howboutdempats 15.00 3.8 7-1
9A 9 High Dollar Kitten 10.00 4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Vow’s Son 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mustang Power 99.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Gilded Warrior 1.40 0.9 2-1
6 5 Daddy’s Placer 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Li’l Dude L Do It 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 7 Metaphorical 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Miami Tiger 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Ninja Boys 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Backstretch George 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Another Smarty 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sambook 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Spartan Pride 12.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Treasury Stock 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 4 Tommy’s Top Cat 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 1 Gran Fortress 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 2 Cape May Style 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 3 Proudmiamicitizen 20.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Peter G. Fox 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Komrad 1.80 1.5 3-1
3 3 Pellagrino 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 5 Tricky Gamble 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Built Better 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 6 Kairos 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cornet 8.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bowman’s Beast 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rydell 10.00 SCRATCH
11A 11 Sight Line 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 American Roma 5.00 1.6 3-1
4A 4 Rapo 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 County Corrections 15.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Diamond Square 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 True Blue 2.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Undeniable Temper 10.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Klaatu 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Secret Secret 12.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tbtwelve 1.80 1.3 2-1
4 4 Queen’s Bird 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Motowncharlybrown 4.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Nobiz Like Jetbiz 10.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Morgantown 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Hoskins 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Baby Brez 20.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Abuela Loca 30.00 SCRATCH
6B 6 Afleet Destiny 12.00 SCRATCH
2A 2 Hola Princess 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Promised Storm 4.00 SCRATCH
10 6 Chevy to the Levy 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 3 True Yankee 10.00 2 4-1
8A 4 Atina Salsa 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Crazy Daisy 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 5 Silver Excess 10.00 2.6 5-1
4 2 Friday Mass 12.00 3.2 6-1
11B 7 Deserted 12.00 3.3 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.