Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 5, 2019

May 5, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fairy Hill 1.60 SCRATCH
6 5 Gwendoline H 1.40 1.3 2-1
4 3 Bella Figura 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Bear Kitty 10.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Phil’s Glory 12.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Lady of Moray 15.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Go Go Jak 15.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Katie Baby 1.20 0.9 2-1
5 5 Souciologist 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Lady Azalea 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 War of the States 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Modus Operandi 12.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lake Manitou 20.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dixie Moon 1.20 1.5 3-1
1 1 Summer Luck 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 She’s the Berries 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Cartabianca (FR) 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Stop Who’s That 20.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Ladies Night 12.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Moon Swings 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Bobby Bittman 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Chilly in Charge 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Yzerman 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Frankie Barone 10.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Encierro 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Roaring Forties 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Bitethebulletbro 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Brutus 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Go for a Ride 12.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Flawless Bourbon 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Night Watchman 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Mick the Conqueror 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Four Knights 2.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Chilling Secret 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Blu Collar Romance 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Boyhood Dream 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 King’s Dream 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Hussar 20.00 4 8-1
1 1 Fine Grind 20.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Born to Be King 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Downy Boy 2.00 1.1 2-1
4 3 Fahrenheit 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 6 Summer Retreat 10.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Wiley O’Rielly 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Charles Street 12.00 3 6-1
8 7 Winsroy 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Standing Reserve 15.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eboracum 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Victor’s Dynasty 5.00 SCRATCH
7 6 My Silencer 2.00 0.9 2-1
4 3 Camp Nardo 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 7 Krachenwagen 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Seguimi 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Grimgrinnin’ Ghost 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bens Last Call 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Donnie Brasco 15.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Grand Mesa 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Abe Froman 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 5 Rising Star 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Jungle Fighter 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Dino Three O Nine 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Dynamic Force 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Mayan Ghost 5.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bear Paw 1.60 1.6 3-1
7 7 I Look Incredible 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Dolly Dagger 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Canadian Magic 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Alkeline 10.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Bel Tempo 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sam’s Cross 12.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Thunder Point 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Too Many Egbert’s 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sniper 6.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Souper Fly Over 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Heydon’s Case 3.00 2.8 5-1
13 13 Cat Zapper 10.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Reallylikethisone 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Spanish River 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Money Talks 20.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Vilma 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Mr Changue 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Red At Last 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Th Original Scotty 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Fifth Thief 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Mister Nada 20.00 5.7 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.