Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 16, 2019

May 16, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Laughingsaintsgirl 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Apollitical Habit 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 6 Paint Me Patriot 5.00 2 4-1
9 8 Blue Macy 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Aj Bux 8.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Rd Your Personal Jet 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 9 Whos Got Diamonds 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Fearless Juan 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Furys Jet 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Call Rachel 12.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arose 3.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Lady Odette 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 7 Swingin Beduino 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 6 Srf Lil Beduino 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Rio Rojo Sizzler 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Tdz Runaway Sash 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Triple Seven 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Rlr Carver Country 12.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Areba Jarred 2.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Mps Triple Funnyface 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Money Is On Me 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Freak This 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Hc Miss Temperd Blue 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Up to Game 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Cecala 12.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Pk Make It Kinky 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Onefamousgoodbyekiss 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Play It Again Shiney 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Louisiana Coronablue 3.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Mr Dance Pilot 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Mac Lir 10.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Mswandas Dashingfast 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Jessa Swift One 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Lt Snickers 20.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Geaux Caliente 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Raineys Game 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Darlene Shez Flying 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Tee Man Doc 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tf Lil Corona Dash 10.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Flyin Tiger 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Bodacious Velvet 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Bellas Best Bet 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Specs Katch 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Jetsa Queen 10.00 3 6-1
9 8 Rily Flyn Firstclass 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Js La Jolla 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Runaway Comment 20.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Bt Streakin 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jess Brioni 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 El Nilo 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Bjs Thunderstruck 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Katie Mae 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 8 Miraculous Miranda 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Chick Lips 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Flooded Heartland 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Caterpillarpuller 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Zooming Strawfly 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Aint I Leaving You 12.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fortalezza 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Easy Little Game 3.00 1 2-1
9 8 Sheza Happy Streaker 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 7 Bravisima 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Curiositi 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Chloes Take Over 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 McKinleys Grace 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Miss Julie Five Bar 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Kb Ivorysfame 12.00 4 8-1
5 4 Really a Doll 12.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hez Sizzling 10.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Embrujo Mountain 3.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Quentonian 3.50 2 4-1
10 9 Watch My Booty 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 5 Fast Southern Prize 12.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Ll Tee Boug 12.00 3 6-1
5 4 Stripitdown 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Ho Lotta Fun 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 We Gota Jewel 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Jls Hezjustfast 12.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Velvets Moonflash 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Adios Jess 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Waylons Lil Shooter 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 One Famous Deoh 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Hez a Fast Flash 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Ttt Ima Moonwalker 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Ks Change My Luck 10.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tlc Jumpin Gidget 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Game for First 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Miss Molly Cartel 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Bad Becca Dashin Bye 4.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Jess Me Jettin Yall 10.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Jrs Tonights Fantasy 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Tm Shes a Dash 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Rl Fast Fun 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Private Jet Black 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Hqh Struttin Gold 10.00 4.4 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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