Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 16, 2019

May 16, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Basha 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hy Kodiak Warrior 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Salute the Colonel 2.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Uncle B 1.20 1.1 2-1
2 1 Ceevee 2.50 1.3 2-1
6 4 Cheyenne’s Colonel 12.00 2 4-1
5 3 Take Command 15.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cotton To 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Kokomo Wildcat 10.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Art’s Table 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Cool Mover 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Organic Jenny 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Uncle Tbone 20.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ebrio 4.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Midnight Miracle 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Cory Gal 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Elissas Secret 1.40 1.8 3-1
2 2 Dana Grace 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Talkback 3.50 2.3 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Architectural 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Northern 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 5 Be a Hero 1.80 1.7 3-1
4 3 My Cowboy 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 1 Pachanga Party 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Noshackleshere 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Beaukati 20.00 3 6-1
8 7 Shacklefords Storm 6.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Great Kahuna 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Golden Decision 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Vincero 1.20 SCRATCH
5 5 Shiny Copper Penny 20.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Escondera 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Seven Gems 4.00 1.3 2-1
8 5 Unlockthepotential 3.00 1.8 3-1
9 6 Farley 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Chief White Sox 20.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Crazy Magic 15.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Cause for Pardon 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rudiger 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Soulmate 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Vassy 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Solar Warming 2.50 1.3 3-1
5 4 Toupha 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Tactical Quality 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Nunc Pro Tunc 10.00 2.2 4-1
9 5 So Nifty 12.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Queen Brunette 10.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Malibu Rainbow 1.40 0.9 2-1
1 1 Dizzy 3.00 2 4-1
4 3 Perfect Kimberly S 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Lucky Little Lady 15.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 La Incondicional 8.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Miley 10.00 2.9 5-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Crazy for Sofia 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Money Factor 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Una Luna 2.50 SCRATCH
10 7 Royal Asscher 1.60 1.1 2-1
7 4 Balada 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 1 Cha Cha Heels 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 2 Chilled Milk 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 3 Final Flurry 20.00 3 6-1
9 6 Sweet Story 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 5 Umetuka 6.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 El Corazon 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Si Es Goya 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Zalza 4.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Passionate Hachi 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Peace Accord 20.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Our Pride 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Why Trust 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Malio’s 20.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Charge It Jenn 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 She’ll Do 1.20 SCRATCH
15 15 Captured Beauty 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Make No Mistake 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tapizar Girl 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 4 Forever Marta 6.00 1.3 3-1
13 11 Boca Royalty 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Glovanna 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Pianoforte 12.00 3 6-1
12 10 Goodbitofbizness 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Funny Biz 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 6 Catnip Kitten 15.00 4.3 8-1
11 9 Si’mon Li’mon 20.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Lady Lucifer 30.00 4.8 9-1
10 8 Delightfulzee’s 30.00 5.4 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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