May 16, 2019 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Eagle Caviar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Odds R Against Us | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | San Marco | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bond | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blazing Reed | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | What About Shorty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mead Avenue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy Idontknowya | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Souper Courage | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elevated Forever | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Orient Point | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Telegram | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Voodoo Valley | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Big Rinne | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Diten | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Let Me Ask Bob | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Natasha Fatale | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dear Charlotte | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rapid Route | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yours to Keep | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cisco Bay | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donna’s Delight | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Docs Way | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Oddseverinurfavor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Princess Rosie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sea Candy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Starlet Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | One Odd Story | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Light a Fire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 9 | Friesing Waters | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My T Talk | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Foggy Dreams | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cut Time | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Dixie’s Fascinator | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Lily Rose | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jabuticaba | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Private Club | 30.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Orbiting the Moon | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Junction | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Free to Trump | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greely Is Back | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peak Performance | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | To the Hilt | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Cerrato | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fifties Music | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swing Step | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sventastic | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Witchy’s Laststand | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cairo Holiday | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Planned | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dynamic Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Valley Cal | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sperry’s Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fast Will | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Benandjoe | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Yes Means No | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snidely | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Liar | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Seany P | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Payneful | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Diamond Nic | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 10 | Lime Hut | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barrel of Stout | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Executioners Terms | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Day the Music Died | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Nico Bree N Teej | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Torch of Truth | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hall Pass | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Great Herman | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Royal Hussar | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Baptize the Boy | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Takemetodinner | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | I’mthetapitnow | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Cabinet Pik | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | The Robert | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 3 | Too Much Data | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quality Step | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Glad Moon (GER) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Let’s Go Mick | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elementary | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Taxable Goods | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bigasaurous | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nick Papagiorgio | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lonely Weekend | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chocomount | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hot Friesia | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Close the Deal | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frigid Sister | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mrs. Crews | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Riproaring | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allison K | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Rouxhere | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Indus Valley Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Top Hat City | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Awesome Sight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pure Spring | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Available | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kid Jeter | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Benevolent Prince | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cash Exchange | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Alkasser (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gringo Star | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Belmont Ride | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Lacrostix | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Lead Astray | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Patriotic Quest | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.