Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 16, 2019

May 16, 2019 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Eagle Caviar 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Odds R Against Us 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 San Marco 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Bond 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Blazing Reed 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 What About Shorty 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Mead Avenue 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Jimmy Idontknowya 3.00 1.1 2-1
9 6 Souper Courage 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Elevated Forever 4.50 2 4-1
10 7 Orient Point 15.00 2.3 4-1
8 5 Telegram 12.00 3.4 6-1
11 8 Voodoo Valley 20.00 3.5 7-1
7 4 Big Rinne 6.00 3.9 7-1
12 9 Diten 30.00 4.1 8-1
5 3 Let Me Ask Bob 20.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Natasha Fatale 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Dear Charlotte 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Rapid Route 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Yours to Keep 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Cisco Bay 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Donna’s Delight 15.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Docs Way 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Oddseverinurfavor 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Princess Rosie 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Sea Candy 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Starlet Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 One Odd Story 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Light a Fire 10.00 SCRATCH
14 9 Friesing Waters 1.80 1.8 3-1
1 1 My T Talk 4.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Foggy Dreams 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 4 Cut Time 8.00 3 6-1
12 8 Dixie’s Fascinator 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 My Lily Rose 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Jabuticaba 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Private Club 30.00 3.4 7-1
8 7 Orbiting the Moon 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Junction 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Free to Trump 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Greely Is Back 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Peak Performance 10.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 To the Hilt 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Dr. Cerrato 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Fifties Music 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Swing Step 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sventastic 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Witchy’s Laststand 50.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cairo Holiday 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Planned 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Dynamic Kid 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Valley Cal 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sperry’s Run 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Fast Will 20.00 SCRATCH
8 5 Benandjoe 1.40 1.3 2-1
12 8 Yes Means No 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Snidely 3.00 1.8 3-1
14 9 Liar 12.00 2.6 5-1
9 6 Seany P 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Payneful 15.00 3.5 7-1
11 7 Diamond Nic 15.00 3.9 7-1
16 10 Lime Hut 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Barrel of Stout 20.00 5 9-1
2 2 Executioners Terms 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Day the Music Died 6.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Nico Bree N Teej 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Torch of Truth 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 3 Hall Pass 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 6 Great Herman 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Royal Hussar 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Baptize the Boy 10.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Takemetodinner 20.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 I’mthetapitnow 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 13 Cabinet Pik 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 The Robert 3.00 SCRATCH
1 3 Too Much Data 2.50 1.5 3-1
10 9 Quality Step 3.00 1.7 3-1
12 10 Glad Moon (GER) 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Let’s Go Mick 15.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Elementary 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Taxable Goods 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Bigasaurous 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Nick Papagiorgio 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Lonely Weekend 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Chocomount 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hot Friesia 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Close the Deal 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Frigid Sister 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Mrs. Crews 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Riproaring 12.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Allison K 4.50 2.6 5-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Rouxhere 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Indus Valley Man 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Top Hat City 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Awesome Sight 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pure Spring 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Available 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Kid Jeter 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Benevolent Prince 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Cash Exchange 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Alkasser (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Gringo Star 6.00 1.1 2-1
5 2 Belmont Ride 2.00 1.6 3-1
7 3 Lacrostix 20.00 1.9 4-1
8 4 Lead Astray 10.00 2.1 4-1
9 5 Wilko’s Goldeneye 20.00 3 6-1
10 6 Patriotic Quest 20.00 3.2 6-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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