Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 16, 2019

May 16, 2019 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 One King’s Man 2.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Cerebral 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Mesa Sky 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Big Headed Jerry 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 K Street 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Saturday 12.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Zimmerman 15.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sweet Platinum 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Handful of Stripes 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Papa Rizzo 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Ras’s Rebel 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Heir Horse One 12.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Mistermischievious 10.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Call Me Derby 5.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Mumford 1.60 1 2-1
2 1 My Macho Mon 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 4 Conspicuous Box 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 2 English Ransom 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Willie Ever Live 10.00 2.7 5-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dreamingndiamonds 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Dixie Forest 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Morning Belle 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Obvi 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Danzig Who 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 La Johnnie 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Dublinthemoney 5.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 E Rated 1.40 1.4 3-1
2 2 Reversaloffortune 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Collection 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Curlinate 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Retaliated 8.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Wasabi Moon 10.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Imma Bling 5.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Rockport Kat 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Chief of Staff 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Toasting Master 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Guska Mon Shoes 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 St. Louie Guy 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Coal Truth 10.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Songster 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Handsome Deputy 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Bonsai Dancer 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Munnycantbuymelove 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Rockin Rog 12.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Oh Larry 10.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Ethan’s Fury 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Comegetsome 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Ognim 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Drip Brew 1.20 1.1 2-1
4 4 Juliet’s Music 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Serious I Candy 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Kupuri 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Ornamental Iron 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Faye Runaway 6.00 3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Upperclassman 2.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Jackie Blu 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Xavier Davey 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Spring d’Oro 15.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Blueskeeper 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Cherokee Charlie 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Greencastle Tap 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Fat Tire 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Rickshaw Express 12.00 3.8 7-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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