Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 13, 2019

June 13, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4A 3 Air On Fire 0.60 1.3 3-1
6 5 Quest for Fire 2.50 2 4-1
3 2 Great Going 10.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Remstin 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Our American Star 15.00 2.8 5-1
5A 4 Bourbon Did It 0.60 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 7 Bangle Gal 2.00 1.3 3-1
12 6 Corey Scores 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Freddymo Factor 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 1 Lough Na Mona 1.80 3.9 7-1
11 5 Tax Me Naught 30.00 4.5 9-1
4 2 Lady Macho 2.50 4.6 9-1
10 10 Sterling Beauty 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Star of the East 4.00 SCRATCH
6 3 Eighty Seven North 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 4 Happy Sophia 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Running On Entry 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dearly Declared 3.00 SCRATCH
2A 2 Kerry’s Ring 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mo Soul 1.40 1.9 4-1
1 1 Professor Snape 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 T Loves a Fight 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Toohottoevenspeak 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Nolinski 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Charreada 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Funny Flowers 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Style Icon 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 San Saria (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lido Key 15.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Sophia Rei 6.00 3.5 7-1
7A 5 Elite Mom 6.00 4 8-1
4A 3 La Vida 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 Passive Investing 2.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sharpin 1.40 2.3 4-1
7A 6 Sheza Diva 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Harkness 1.80 SCRATCH
5 4 Malibu Mischief 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Sarahrini 12.00 3.7 7-1
1A 1 Whyisshesoolucky 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Carlisle Belle 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 5 Skychief 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Ari’s Naughty Luca 1.40 2.3 4-1
4 4 A I Initiative 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Whiskey Is My Wine 4.50 SCRATCH
7 4 Solar 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Crypto Gold 3.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Exchequer 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Quality Choice 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Noble Lion 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Shiloh Lane 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dream Passage 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 English Soul 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Goodbye Brockley 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Call Me Kayla 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Panther Hit 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Go Rose (GER) 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Purrageous Dyna 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mizzen Max 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Regal Retort 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Carrera Cat 1.20 2.8 5-1
4 4 Tapping Pearl 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Aunt Babe 6.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gunboat Diplomacy 3.50 SCRATCH
9 5 Taniell’s Candy 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 3 Traci’s Girl 6.00 4.4 8-1
15 9 Bourbon High 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 It’s a Lovely Day 4.50 5.2 10-1
11 11 Daddysneverready 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Youth Gone Wild 8.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Finlee 20.00 6.2 12-1
13 13 Seattle Frost 20.00 SCRATCH
8 4 Magical Romance 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Minit Maus 30.00 SCRATCH
14 8 Scarlet’s Command 15.00 7.8 15-1
12 7 Kitty Therapy 8.00 8 15-1
3 3 Angels and Us 15.00 SCRATCH
10 6 Plimsoll Anny 20.00 9.1 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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