Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 16, 2019

June 16, 2019 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wandering Patrol 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Smiling Annie 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Sunrise Royale 2.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Moonshine Annie 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Miss Voluptuous 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Party Hostess 20.00 7 13-1
7 7 Christy Jackson 6.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Mixed Emotions 12.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Palace Prince 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Cal’s Gem 2.50 2.1 4-1
9 8 Howbeit 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Governance 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 4 Scoring 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Restoring Dreams 10.00 9 17-1
1 1 Derby War 20.00 11.2 21-1
6 5 Mickelson 6.00 11.2 21-1
4 4 Zimba Warrior 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rayana 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 True Validity 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Moreisbetter 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Kiana’s Love 3.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Devils Dance 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Square Peggy 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Hello Bubbles 8.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Cavernndchipmunks (FR) 6.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Tough But Nice 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 4 Best Two Minutes 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Puriano 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Candy Zip 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Giddymeister 5.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Top Brass 4.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 American Currency 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ellie Arroway 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Velvet Queen 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Mucho Unusual 4.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Ladymidtown 4.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 All Star Cast (IRE) 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Strike At Dawn 3.50 7.7 14-1
1 1 Out of Balance 8.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Posh Holly (IRE) 6.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Convince 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Princess Dorian 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Tapitha Bonita 1.80 5.3 10-1
1 1 Smiling Rose 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Rather Nosy 4.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Starza 5.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Gadot 12.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Possibly Perfect S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Zaffinah (IRE) 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Pulpit Rider 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Pantsonfire (IRE) 2.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Lemoona 3.50 6.4 12-1
5 5 Lynne’s Legacy 5.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Mirth 8.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Confidentially 12.00 10 19-1
7 7 Siberian Iris (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Affirmed S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mucho Gusto 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Roadster 1.20 2.9 5-1
4 4 Kingly 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Manhattan Up 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Visitant 4.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Always Forgiven 12.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Boru 2.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Tequila Blanco 4.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Zorich 3.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Fortnite Dance 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 King Charlie 30.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Seven Oxen 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Forecheck 5.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Ohtani 6.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Mongolian Hero 20.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Indy Jones 20.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Fort Dodge 50.00 10.6 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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