Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 16, 2019

June 16, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Niigon’s Bay 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Now Play Nice 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mystic Nile 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Crumlin Queen 4.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Sailor’s Thought 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Stop Who’s That 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Never Sober 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Zindigo 2.50 4.2 8-1
8 7 Moonstone 3.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Red Riot 4.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Desdemona 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Biddy Early 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Tiz Priceless 6.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Gypsy Jazz 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Golden Vision 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jungle Fighter 1.60 2.5 5-1
6 6 Follow My Lead 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Courtly Manner 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Souper Fly Over 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sine Metu 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Nestleton Hush 8.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Lord Wimborne (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Fritzie’s Boy 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 4 Trebek 4.50 5.2 10-1
10 9 Toxicologist 3.50 6 11-1
9 8 Hit the Ticket 6.00 6.7 13-1
11 10 Bay of Rum 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 Miriam’s Sky 10.00 8.2 15-1
7 6 Dot’s Last Call 20.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 Slam 12.00 9.6 18-1
6 5 Street Cat Sam 20.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Kitten’s Dilemma 20.00 14.1 27-1
3 3 Sevencomingout 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 A Rated Breeze 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Clear Destination 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Mr. Hustle 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Muskoka Storm 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Forester’s Fortune 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Trinity Thundah 8.00 5.6 11-1
10 9 Power of Intention 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Different Days 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Windchill Zar 12.00 10.9 21-1
3 3 Guns Down 10.00 11.3 21-1
5 5 Shangassah 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Poquito Bandito 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Zoomer Music 3.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Spring Edition 6.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Crime Wave 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Bee Keeper 8.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Just for Rose 15.00 10.6 20-1
1 1 Laser Light 10.00 10.7 20-1
4 4 Just Run With It 10.00 11.2 21-1
2 2 Leopoldo 10.00 11.3 21-1
10 10 Strikecrest 12.00 13.8 26-1
9 9 Stop the Humbug 15.00 14.5 27-1
8 8 Kyslios’s Justice 20.00 15.2 29-1
13 13 Our Uncle Drew 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Wincredible Star 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Keep Your Word 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Soul n’ Spirit 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bernotchie 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Vedder 1.80 3.7 7-1
2 2 Get the News 3.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Lassiter 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 In Memory of Floyd 6.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Thxforbeinmyfriend 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Colonel Talbot 10.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Keen Artie 15.00 10.8 20-1
6 6 Cabertoss 8.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Trillium S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tapa Tapa Tapa 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Dixie Moon 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 She’s the Berries 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Summer Luck 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Lunar Garden 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Miss Mo Mentum 20.00 8.2 15-1
11 10 Hot Cash 8.00 10.2 19-1
9 8 Ladies Night 12.00 10.4 20-1
3 3 Bear Paw 20.00 10.5 20-1
10 9 Giovanna Blues 12.00 12.6 24-1
8 8 Cartabianca (FR) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Are You Kidding Me 0.80 1.1 2-1
2 2 Fire for Effect 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 King and His Court 2.50 4 7-1
3 3 Aheadbyacentury 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Revved Up 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Freitag 15.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 White Wedding 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Cerrado 3.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Denmark 10.00 5.9 11-1
13 12 G Prince of Silver 4.50 6.3 12-1
11 11 Ingordwetrust 4.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 A Song for Artie 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Lucky Street 10.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Cash Advance 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Harpy Eagle 12.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Overbearing 12.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Quality Brew 6.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Star Conqueror 20.00 11.6 22-1
12 12 Standing Reserve 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fortheboys 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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