Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 12, 2019

July 12, 2019 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Can She Scoot 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 4 Darlin Rosie 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Zaphical 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Heir Ball 4.50 SCRATCH
5 3 Valiant Lady 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Je Suis Belle 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lu Sea 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stopshoppingamy 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Scarlet Position 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Lizz a Bee 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Afooler 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Snake N Shake 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Stormy Empire 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Ditten Waddy 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Do Not Enter 1.60 1.9 4-1
1 1 Amaroq 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Legendary Larry 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 M C Squared 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Vbreeze 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Magician’s Bags 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Caitlins Road 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 G Road 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Maria’s Moment 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Ain’t Dat Sweet 2.50 SCRATCH
4 3 Sharperthanme 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Glamala 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Buywon Getwon 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Lady Furbein 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Romantic Attack 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 House of Cortez 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Lero Lero 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Yourdecisionotmine 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Donivan My Boy 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Fern 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Mummy Troll 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Boychild 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Portico 8.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Amazing Annie 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Gwendalyn Sue 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Rachelgotstephen 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Regal Serenade 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 April Fifteenth 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Launch Away 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Tannah’blu 3.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sharing a Laugh 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Track Magic 30.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bordini 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Dumbmark 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bajan Rhythm 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Letthebigshot Roll 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Iker 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Pale Hose 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Kyzan 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Boston Charley 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Impeachableoffense 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Donnels Creek 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Alex’s Strike 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Speed Effect 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Suspect 20.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Imperial Temple 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Suprise Cat 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Prince Zar 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Gate Crew 6.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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