Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 12, 2019

July 12, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hannah’s Storm 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Golden Tap 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Sudden Light 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Donnameup 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Fantastic Kingdom 3.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Smirkotch 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Si’mon Li’mon 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Too Much Minutia 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Barcelona 2.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Snow and Lillylynn 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Lady Joanna 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Angelic Knugget 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Little Natalia 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Catalina R 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Risen Change 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Crown Real 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tracy Ann’s Legacy 1.40 2.1 4-1
4 4 Distinctly Blue 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Nilestar 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Feature Creature 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Kanholdherwine 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 On With God 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Glory Roll 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Company Store 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 5 Hip Hip Jorge 0.80 2.1 4-1
2 1 Handsome Chewy 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Rack Gin 4.50 3.4 7-1
3 2 Cristiano 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Treasure Run 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Dillemeister 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Temple Mount 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Gran Greyfrost 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Doctor D J 3.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Coniston 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Majestic Luna 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Tangible 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Chase Runner 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 King Leonardo 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Grisaceo 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Cautious Giant 1.00 2 4-1
2 1 Florida Cotton 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Trappezoid 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Liam Lets Go 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 My Friend Flavin 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 4 Shoshone Brave 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Running for Riz 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Jagr 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Captain Gaughen 3.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Love Conquers 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Cash Call Kitten 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Day of Reckoning 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Tipsy Kitten 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Summer Spice 12.00 7 13-1
3 2 The Mighty Judge 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Balistico 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 9 Toss 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Son of Oahu 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Manolete 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Bird of Peace 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Heidi Ho 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Hot Fudge Honey 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Lisa Mila 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 3 Brownstoneprincess 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Faith Flys Again 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Velvet Trinni 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Dixie Talk 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Miss Antonella 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Spiced Rum Punch 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 J P’s Rose 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Miley 10.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 Tell Me Maux 30.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Inca Princess 30.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Show Biz Liz 15.00 5.6 11-1
12 11 Damaska 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Machita 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Koa Kani 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Delightfulzee’s 99.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Sunset Summer 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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