July 12, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hannah’s Storm | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Tap | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sudden Light | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Donnameup | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fantastic Kingdom | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smirkotch | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Si’mon Li’mon | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Too Much Minutia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Barcelona | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snow and Lillylynn | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Joanna | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angelic Knugget | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Natalia | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catalina R | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Risen Change | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crown Real | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tracy Ann’s Legacy | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Distinctly Blue | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nilestar | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feature Creature | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kanholdherwine | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | On With God | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glory Roll | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Company Store | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hip Hip Jorge | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Handsome Chewy | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rack Gin | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cristiano | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Treasure Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dillemeister | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Temple Mount | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Greyfrost | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doctor D J | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coniston | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Luna | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tangible | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chase Runner | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Leonardo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grisaceo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Cautious Giant | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Florida Cotton | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trappezoid | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Liam Lets Go | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Friend Flavin | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shoshone Brave | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Running for Riz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Jagr | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Captain Gaughen | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Love Conquers | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Call Kitten | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Day of Reckoning | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tipsy Kitten | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Summer Spice | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | The Mighty Judge | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Balistico | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Toss | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Son of Oahu | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Manolete | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Bird of Peace | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heidi Ho | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hot Fudge Honey | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lisa Mila | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brownstoneprincess | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Faith Flys Again | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Trinni | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Talk | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Antonella | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spiced Rum Punch | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | J P’s Rose | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miley | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tell Me Maux | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inca Princess | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Show Biz Liz | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Damaska | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Machita | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Koa Kani | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Delightfulzee’s | 99.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sunset Summer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.