Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 12, 2019

July 12, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tachyon 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Conquest Bandit 20.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Lunar Image 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hunca Rock 2.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 I’ve Gotta Plan 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 The Mason Factor 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Jericho Marsh 5.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Whiskey Dreamin 30.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Crypto Currency 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bond 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Boots 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Hello Amigo 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Bayano 15.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Masai Man 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Power Back 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Fernwood Drive 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Casper Slew 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Into Bluegrass 5.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Roman Holiday 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Cherokee Sky 3.50 4 7-1
6 6 Princess Killmain 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Missimard 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Caterina One 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Chiefs Kingdom 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 No Great Shakes 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gold Man 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 In Arrears 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Uplifting 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Tricky Lion 1.80 4.2 8-1
3 3 Whenthedovescry 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Bustoff 4.50 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fearless Terp 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Allaboutmike 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Cousin Jimmy 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Unequivocal 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Don’t Poke the Cat 3.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Geyser 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 I Ain’t Never 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dashing Lou 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Street Copper 2.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Bay Bridge 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Hanalei’s Houdini 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Trifor Gold 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Mr. d’Angelo 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Bowsprit 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Barin 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Absolved 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Pretty Good Year 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 My Brothersledge 4.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Beltway Bob 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 No Knock Raid 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Seville Barber 8.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 A True Gentleman 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Earned It 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Poplar Avenue 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Glad Dad 3.50 4 8-1
3 3 Top Czar 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Detroit Cowboy 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Bobo Jones 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Down in the Holler 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Townie 8.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Wilko’s Goldeneye 10.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Disco Express 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Great Nation 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zitarrosa 1.60 2.3 4-1
8 8 Willie the Whale 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Stacksdenero 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Sing a Verse 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Creepy the Crab 30.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Aggregate 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Valley Cal 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Liar 20.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Picky Picky Picky 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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