July 14, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hire the Lady | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maxixe | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bendita | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Channel | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Judge Kitten | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tizbud She Wants | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Temple | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Undercover Outlaw | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Discrimanation | 99.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gracias Adios | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mariealena | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proud Legacy | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasity | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sonoma Storm | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Freckles Kan | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nikki Bella | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trappe Me Later | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Wind | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rethinkme | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salsa Rita | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sum Overture | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sturgeon | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Weather Report | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lost for Words | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Codeseventyseven | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monkey Money | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Oklahoma Crude | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Fiorella | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Tormenta | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tap Til Dawn | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katniss Kan | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Justice | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Offspring | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Regala | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Abaco Dream | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lillie’s Heat | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caruca | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Nicole | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adamant | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Herecitykitty | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Madelyn’s Dancer | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Truly Courageous | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mardi Gras Girl | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Treasured Info | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Penny Rose | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Belladonnia | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capture the Genie | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tara | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hear My Prayer | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foxy Lady | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Karatbars | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ceci Valentina | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freret | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She Broke My Heart | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hard Count | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jeeker Joe | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I Stand Corrected | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overwatch | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dardanellos | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Mufasa | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | South Pointe Drive | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rich’s Rags | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Soul Kitten | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slammin’ Mike | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sir Seamus | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blazing Island | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Nest | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | For the Gipper | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Karen’s Cove | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oskar Blues | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | El Playon | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Braver Then We Are | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Irish Letters | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pirate’s Treasure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wingman | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Gems | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nunc Pro Tunc | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortunate Friends | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Til the End | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dexter Road | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Farley | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Strike Midnight | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Hat | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Break in the Storm | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fundy’s Tide | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sarasota County | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leaky Cup | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oh Danny Bear | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Famous N Flashy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Pops | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zorb | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Belle | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Anjali | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chaos Rising | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Intricately | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Chantilly Lilly | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kylesnorthernstar | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ethel Eileen | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Susies Who | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Rate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nanie’s Treasure | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | America First | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.