July 19, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Howbeit | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Tigre Terrible | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heraclitus | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Little Cents | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Congrats | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Delp | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yha Yha | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mason Dixon | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fortune of War (GB) | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cosa Nostra (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Topgallant | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bitter Ring Home | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poppy’s C Note | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dieci | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marilyn’s Smile | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sunrise Royale | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Ricochet | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Emmy and I | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maycee Jo | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Dime for Me | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Be Lifted Up | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Voluptuous | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fantasy Heat | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dichotomy | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heaven Squared | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fighting Mad | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Ninja | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spend Spend Spend | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch Me Burn | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uno Trouble Maker | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Ebby | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hollywood Girl | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Out of Balance | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Persephone | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anonymously | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strike At Dawn | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Star Cast (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cavernndchipmunks (FR) | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gallovie (GB) | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pakhet | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | K P Slickem | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hurley | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rayana | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fregua (GB) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Mystery | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deuce | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oakland Mills | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soldier Boy | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fay Dan | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Nation | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Pursuit | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northrndancrsghost | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Osunitas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ahimsa | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Blame Judy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zaffinah (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supercommittee | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paved | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Streak of Luck | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Achira | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trustini | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Testimony | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Passing | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Siculo | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fifteen to Vegas | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scrambled | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greyhammer | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Wally | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Checks in the Mail | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon and Water | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bobby’s Day | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Severin | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Funusual | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.