July 20, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tequila Sunrise | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dearborn | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | And Counting | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mongolian Empire | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Klaus | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leading Indicator | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Anthem | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flagstaff | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adens Dream | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Pastime | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lombo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Contagion | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First in Show | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loud Mouth | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Creep | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Diamond Blitz | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King Charlie | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Clem | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Insider | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ack | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always Forgiven | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Collins Ave | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – San Diego H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catalina Cruiser | 0.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Draft Pick | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Core Beliefs | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mongolian Groom | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Higher Power | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Dorr | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blue Moonrise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Ava’s Union | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shocking Fast | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Dale | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kelani Kim | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Karmically | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Star | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willowglade | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Daisycutter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | S Y Sky | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gypsy Blu | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Painting Corners | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kentan Road | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Little Bit Me | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lady Suebee | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gliding By | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Just Grazed Me | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holly Hundy | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harking | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Side Street Dave | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Returns | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Club Aspen | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vegan | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast Bro | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cleveland Cat | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fantasy Game | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Clemente S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Maxim Rate | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Unusual | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keeper Ofthe Stars | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Over Emphasize | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stillwater Cove | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devils Dance | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harmless | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apache Princess | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kalliniki | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seranitsa | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Save the Story | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musically | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Xena | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s So Special | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hail On Hoofs | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Included | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tacocat | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Melodie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lazy Daisy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Overdue | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foray | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captivate | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Factorial | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snazzy Dresser | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inscom | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Treasure | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Battle of Memphis (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ronald R (IRE) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Erotic | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.