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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 20, 2019

July 20, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Business Cycle 1.20 2.4 4-1
3 3 Brush Country 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Mandatory Payout 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Blue Gem 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Threatlovesmidnite 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Heyitsnricopalazo 12.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Somebody 8.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Mission Statement 20.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Borough Boy 3.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Value Engineering 1.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Skywriting 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Dillon Rocks 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Bad Boy 3.50 7 13-1
6 6 Heirloom Kitten 8.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Foti 10.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Crypto Gold 12.00 10.6 20-1
1 1 On a Spree 12.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Coaching Club American Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Guarana 0.40 1.4 3-1
3 3 Boxwood 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Champagne Anyone 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Off Topic 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Point of Honor 3.50 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Per Capita 2.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Majority Rules 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Scars Are Cool 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Spice Road 2.50 5.8 11-1
3 3 Tough Times 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Ranger Up 6.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Fireball Shot 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mamma Dee 6.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Chestnut Street 2.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Galadriel’s Light 12.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Art Buff 8.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 Dynamic Miss 8.00 9.6 18-1
15 15 Stormy D 3.50 10.3 19-1
3 3 Ragtime Suzy 15.00 10.5 20-1
12 12 Kinky Sox 10.00 11.2 21-1
5 5 Solitary Gem 12.00 11.3 21-1
16 16 Incredible Miss 10.00 11.3 21-1
2 2 Take Charge Tina 15.00 12 23-1
8 8 Kickin Kimberly 5.00 12.2 23-1
14 14 Appreciate 10.00 12.5 24-1
11 11 Infatuation 30.00 14.2 27-1
7 7 Trixie’s Time 10.00 14.7 28-1
10 10 Roses From Ben 30.00 16.6 31-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sequin 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Fly So Pretty 5.00 4.6 9-1
14 14 Divided Sky (IRE) 8.00 6 11-1
11 11 Sparkling Sky 4.50 6.4 12-1
12 12 Voting Agreement 5.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Mom’s Pass 4.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Meritaten 4.50 8.6 16-1
2 2 Sharing 6.00 9.3 18-1
15 15 Magic Motion 3.50 11.7 22-1
8 8 Queen of Shades 8.00 12.3 23-1
16 16 Persian Queen 6.00 12.6 24-1
4 4 Miss My Macho 20.00 12.9 24-1
3 3 Crack of Dawn 15.00 13.7 26-1
13 13 Star Command 10.00 13.8 26-1
6 6 Ill Will 15.00 14.3 27-1
9 9 Giggle Factory 15.00 15.4 29-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mr Thrifty 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Yankee Empire 6.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Lucky Curlin 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Basin 3.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Three Technique 3.50 6.6 12-1
5 5 American Butterfly 15.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 He’s Super Lucky 15.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Excession 8.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Social Afleet 12.00 10.2 19-1
4 4 Eagles Palace 10.00 11.9 22-1
1 1 Federale 15.00 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bernin’ Thru Gold 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Variant Perception 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Halladay 5.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Lonhtwist 15.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Saintly Samurai 15.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Penalty 4.50 9.6 18-1
6 6 King Cause 8.00 10.2 19-1
10 10 Hoboe 3.50 10.9 21-1
7 7 Morrison 8.00 11 21-1
9 9 Uncle Sigh 20.00 11.1 21-1
3 3 Rapt 8.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Long Haul Bay 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Restoring Hope 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Borracho 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Identity Politics 3.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Majestic Affair 4.50 5.9 11-1
5 5 No Distortion 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Own Agenda 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Giuseppe the Great 15.00 10.4 20-1
1 1 Be Gone Daddy 12.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Caress S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Morticia 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Significant Form 2.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Factorofwon 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Broadway Run 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Mrs. Ramona G. 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Miss Gossip (IRE) 30.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Fire Key 5.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Mominou 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Jc’s Shooting Star 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Internet of Things 4.00 4.6 9-1
14 14 Daddy Knows 2.50 5 9-1
10 10 Pipes 5.00 5.6 11-1
13 13 Masterkey 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Nutzforboltz 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Not So Quiet Man 10.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Bad Guy 6.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Riendo 6.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 He’smyluckyfellow 12.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Monaghan 8.00 8.6 16-1
12 12 Hokulea 15.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Steelersfanforlife 10.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Risky Sour 15.00 10.4 20-1
9 9 Fleet Admiral 30.00 12.5 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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