August 10, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Garth | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Veteran | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Convex | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm the Court | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zimba Warrior | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Witch’s Vow | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Fraulein | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Tigre Terrible | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Next Flight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Drippin Sauce | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D K’s Crown | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Project Leader | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jammers Justice | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sienna | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Billy Batts | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drasario (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Beast | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Power Source (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Old Trafford | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | French Rose | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fantasy Game | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ca Dreamer | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Champagne Honey | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Promnesia | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hopscotchy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tengs Rhythm | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Don’t Pass | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Winsinfashion | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gadot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Acker | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starting Bloc | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Italian Babbo | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Andesh (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Roary | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Troutman | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreams of Valor | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Manhattan Up | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Money Inthe Starrs | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Square Peggy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Portal Creek | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oh My Oh | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swing Thoughts | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Lifted Up | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emerald Lady | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hollywood Girl | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gallovie (GB) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel Alessandra | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zee Drop | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | K P Slickem | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kalliniki | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All Star Cast (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dichotomy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Best Pal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | We’re Still Here | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raging Whiskey | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Schrodinger | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Collusion Illusion | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fore Left | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wrecking Crew | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Hot Legs | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rockin Ready | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flower Point | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smoovie | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Screening | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Courteous | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Donut Girl | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hello Bubbles | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Gray | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Time for Ebby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Nomizar | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Andyoushallreceive | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tiger Silk (AUS) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.