Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 14, 2019

August 14, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Deckology 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Istain Man 2.50 2 4-1
7 7 Heraclitus 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Little Cents 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Shootin Money 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Yha Yha 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Way Cool 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Four O’Five 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Adulting 1.80 1.3 3-1
1 1 Chirp 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Taylor Gals 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Sweet Bluegrass 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Shesaidshesperfect 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Destiny’s Storm 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Vidalia 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sheer Flattery 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bellerin 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Rocko’s Wheel 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Start a Runnin 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dukes Up 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Fire When Ready 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Bitter Ring Home 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Flying to the Line 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 5 Heathers Grey 4.00 3 6-1
10 8 Equal Measure 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Breezy Bee 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Smiling Rose 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Roses and Candy 20.00 5 9-1
8 6 Kittyhawk Lass 12.00 6 11-1
5 4 Magnificent Q T 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Trust Fund Kitty 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Red Bunting (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Afternoon Heat 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Etterbay Ucklay 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Calder Vale 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Atomic Candy 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Anniversary Sale 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Tim’s Buddy 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Brazilian Summer 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Travieza 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Gypsy Blu 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Just Grazed Me 2.50 3 6-1
8 8 Storming Lady 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Uno Trouble Maker 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Littlefirefighter 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Holly Hundy 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Querida Dubai (ARG) 10.00 7 13-1
9 9 Sold It 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Kentan Road 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Papa Turf 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Mister Mojo 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 An Ocala Ten 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Boy Howdy 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Nova 15.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Market Sentiment 20.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Westmont 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 Johann’s Command 20.00 7 13-1
9 9 Royal Seeker 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Aberdeen Island 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Incensed 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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