Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 14, 2019

August 14, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Jack’s Memory 4.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Crumlin Time 3.00 5 9-1
3 3 Millbank Magic 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Stormy Vision 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Audrey Grace 20.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 Conquest Rapiduno 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Orbortunistic 6.00 7.5 14-1
14 14 Canadian Eh 20.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Lets Dance Some Mo 20.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Overturned 15.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Twentytwentycrest 20.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Maximum Entropy 8.00 9.3 17-1
11 11 Happycrest 10.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Hanchy 20.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Yum Yum 2.50 1.9 3-1
9 8 Tallievision 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lady Bella 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Deesse Nike 3.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 I Have Feelings 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Scarlet Bow 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Sheztenthehardway 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Miss Honeypotts 20.00 7 13-1
8 7 Stella Ella Ola 20.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Giovanna Ponti 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Prized Connection 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Big Mamba 3.00 5.2 10-1
12 11 Diamond Gold 12.00 5.3 10-1
14 13 Sea Sparkle 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Red Riot 6.00 6.9 13-1
16 14 Wuk Up Queen 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Hurricane Emily 4.00 7.5 14-1
13 12 Biddy Early 20.00 8.2 15-1
9 8 Avalon 20.00 8.2 15-1
10 9 Wilburnrubber 12.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Desdemona 20.00 10 19-1
3 3 Mary of Scotts 20.00 10.4 20-1
1 1 Rexdale 10.00 10.6 20-1
11 10 Kewanne 15.00 11.1 21-1
7 7 Conquest Bad Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Soul Planet 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Sweet Brynlie 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Farfalla 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Banana Rama 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Moon Over Victoria 5.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Judith Can 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Simply Mysterious 3.50 6.8 13-1
10 10 Khawlah 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Somersby 10.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Double Crossed 10.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Zlatica 20.00 9.8 19-1
8 8 Red Sails 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Adelle’s Princess 1.60 1.5 3-1
2 2 Moonstone 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Dreamin On a Cloud 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Dolly Dagger 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Lucky Girasol 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Garafraxa 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Louise the Laser 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Hailey’s Prize 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Cypress Park 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Sky Vision 2.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Danzig Rainbow 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Afleet Connection 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Miss Forester 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Eternal Search S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 She’s the Berries 2.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Red Cabernet 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Without a Doubt 20.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Zestina 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Silent Respect 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Piper’s Legacy 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Crumlin Queen 8.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Miss Sea 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forest Halo 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Dilly Dally Darby 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 4 Lady Rebel 8.00 4 7-1
3 3 Lisa’s Escarpment 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Molinaro Deputy 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Misguided Passion 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Sugati 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Freshieintheforest 12.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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