August 18, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Stellar Sound | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matera | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sentimental | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Christmas Pickles | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Buyer’s Remorse | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She Loves Karaoke | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Gamely | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Holy Mosey | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C C the Bartender | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Todos Santos | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ciao Luna | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Ice | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lacey’s Rainbow | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vintage Hollywood | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frankie Machine | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cosa Nostra (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King Charlie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gryffindor | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scrappy Deville | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | I’m Amore | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meistermind | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Flagstaff | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Pastime | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McKale | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | California Street | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adens Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Secular Nation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ted W | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Matriculate | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Twirling Tiger | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Forever Juanito | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Desert General | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Taste’s Legend | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | For the Hustle | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Cobra | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jetovator | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Claim of Passion | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Fun | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spendaholic | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nil Phet | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Corrana En Limen | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conte Cavour | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Northrndancrsghost | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Fitting | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Del Mar Mile H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sharp Samurai | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bolo | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bowies Hero | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Earl | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | What a View | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Eagle | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Touch (GB) | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ohio (BRZ) | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grecian Fire | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Picaro (CHI) | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bombard | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Julius | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dueling | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jamminwithbrandon | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magic On Tap | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midcourt | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Synthesis | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dia de Pago | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feeling Strong | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ameerah B | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Point | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Bigly | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Me Mo My | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Catch the Eye | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bodhicitta (GB) | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Nightingale | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lily’s Storm | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winter Gold (GB) | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kelani Kim | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Haughty Girl | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Our Charm | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Apples Arch | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.