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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 18, 2019

August 18, 2019 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Stellar Sound 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 Matera 1.60 1.7 3-1
6 5 Sentimental 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Christmas Pickles 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Buyer’s Remorse 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 She Loves Karaoke 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Spun Gamely 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Holy Mosey 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 C C the Bartender 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Todos Santos 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Ciao Luna 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Baby Ice 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Lacey’s Rainbow 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vintage Hollywood 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 6 Frankie Machine 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Cosa Nostra (IRE) 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 5 King Charlie 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Gryffindor 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Scrappy Deville 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 I’m Amore 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Meistermind 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Flagstaff 1.80 1.6 3-1
2 2 American Pastime 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 McKale 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 California Street 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Adens Dream 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Secular Nation 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ted W 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 6 Matriculate 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 7 Twirling Tiger 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Forever Juanito 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Desert General 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Taste’s Legend 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 For the Hustle 12.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Conquest Cobra 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jetovator 1.80 1.9 4-1
8 8 Claim of Passion 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Summer Fun 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Spendaholic 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Nil Phet 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Corrana En Limen 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Conte Cavour 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Northrndancrsghost 30.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 It’s Fitting 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Del Mar Mile H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sharp Samurai 6.00 1.9 3-1
9 9 Bolo 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Bowies Hero 2.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Prince Earl 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 What a View 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Majestic Eagle 12.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Double Touch (GB) 30.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Ohio (BRZ) 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Grecian Fire 6.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 El Picaro (CHI) 15.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Bombard 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Julius 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Dueling 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Jamminwithbrandon 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Magic On Tap 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Midcourt 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Synthesis 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Dia de Pago 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Feeling Strong 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ameerah B 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Pretty Point 6.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Miss Bigly 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Mo Me Mo My 8.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Catch the Eye 6.00 4.8 9-1
13 13 Bodhicitta (GB) 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 The Nightingale 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Lily’s Storm 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Winter Gold (GB) 10.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Kelani Kim 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Haughty Girl 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 She’s Our Charm 10.00 8.2 16-1
8 8 Apples Arch 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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