Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 18, 2019

August 18, 2019 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shiraz 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Fully Loaded 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Keeping the Peace 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Blessed Halo 2.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Siena Magic 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Somekindofmagician 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Bettor Bank On It 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Corot 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ivy’s College Fund 2.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Clairvoyant Lady 2.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Served Cold 4.50 6.2 12-1
7 7 Riot Worthy 4.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Sugar Cube 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Cotton Candy Cutie 8.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Zecha 15.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Americano Girl 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 4 Good Shabbos 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 5 Sharing 2.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 Make Or Break 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 7 Gloriously 8.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 In Good Spirits 6.00 7.1 13-1
8 6 Bovary 15.00 10 19-1
2 2 Inveterate 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Crack of Dawn 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Madita (GER) 1.40 3.5 7-1
5 4 Coffee Crush 2.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Pugilist 2.50 5.5 10-1
4 3 Tapping Pearl 15.00 5.5 10-1
8A 5 Hollywood Glory 12.00 11 21-1
9 6 East Moon 8.00 12.3 23-1
1 1 Cadeau de Paix 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Love My Honey 6.00 SCRATCH
7A 7 Dating Game 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Palace Avenger 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Quantum Computing 3.00 5 9-1
6 5 Wicked Spirit 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 1 Wedontbelieveher 4.50 6.8 13-1
7 6 Speed Talks 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 7 Chaysenbryn 4.50 8.1 15-1
5 4 Shadilee 5.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Shanny Go Nanny 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mrs. Danvers 1.60 6.6 12-1
8 8 Bird Tycoon 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Finite 2.50 7.8 15-1
1 1 Striking Beauty 8.00 8 15-1
7 7 Abilene Trail 4.50 8.1 15-1
3 3 Blossom Bow 20.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Water White 10.00 10.7 20-1
5 5 Melisande 12.00 12.2 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 A Different Style 4.00 3.3 6-1
10 5 Maniacal 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Still Krz 1.80 6.8 13-1
6 4 Gorgeous Charli 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Mission Command 8.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 New York’s Finest 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Fear 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Outrageous Bet 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Have Another 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Macho Blue 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Jennemily 15.00 5 9-1
12 6 Pecan Pattie 2.00 5 9-1
10 5 Hit a Provisional 4.50 6.1 12-1
13 7 Righteous Ruby 3.00 6.7 13-1
2 1 Cathy Naz 4.50 7.8 15-1
7 3 Miss Loyalty 15.00 8 15-1
9 4 Carlisle Belle 8.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Connectivity 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Keota 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Star Swept 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Joy of Treasure 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Rossellini 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Elle’s Town 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Summer Colony S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Blue Prize (ARG) 0.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Pacific Wind 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Breaking Bread 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Tweeting 8.00 4 7-1
5 5 Alberobello 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Skeptic 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Vexatious 6.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Incredible Miss 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 3 Take Charge Tina 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 4 Love and Love 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Sooner Schooner 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 5 Needs No Ice 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Kickin Kimberly 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Seeking Revenge 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Alley to Calvary 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Moyne Spun 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Fairy Link 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 O’Malley 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.