Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 12, 2019

September 12, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Johnnythetireman 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 I Stand Corrected 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Macho Mania 3.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Tiz Luna 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Fine Spirit 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Super Monster 15.00 6.6 12-1
10 9 Ship Lock 30.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Ready to Mingle 20.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Wolfpub 12.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 German Alberto 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 The Exception 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Waterloo Sunset 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Miz Chaplin 3.50 3 6-1
2 1 Gran Reserva 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 3 Lady Marchella 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Classic Melody 6.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Na Na Dude 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 8 Poseidons Heir 15.00 7.4 14-1
3 2 Paola’s Team 10.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Debbies Utube Diva 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Bodebabe 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 3 Moonlit Sea 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 C C’s Cup of Tea 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Nilestar 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Alpilles 5.00 5.4 10-1
11 10 Sizzling Roma 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Shanghaisweetheart 12.00 6.4 12-1
12 11 Aurea Aura 20.00 7.2 14-1
13 12 Bendita 6.00 7.4 14-1
5 4 Princes Dynamite 30.00 9.4 18-1
10 9 Perfect State 30.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 My Temple 20.00 10.4 20-1
3 3 Chantilly Lilly 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Anjali 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Kanholdherwine 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Richard the Great 1.20 3.1 6-1
4 3 Fortunate Friends 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Beau Trace 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Drop Kick 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Quenane 12.00 5 9-1
7 6 Zippy 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 General Obvious 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Sheldor 6.00 3 6-1
10 6 Maturin 10.00 4 8-1
9 5 Dia Sorpresa 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 2 Duke of Monroe 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 1 Segismundo 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 4 Its an Experience 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Taranto 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Alperes 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Bunyan’s Axe 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mano 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Drill Bit 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Sweet Kayden 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Oskar Blues 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Grisaceo 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 4 Pirate’s Treasure 4.50 5.1 10-1
8 7 Nightstrings 3.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 Brandt 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 High Rolling Dude 6.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Vive Le Roi 15.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Our Pride 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Talkothtown 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Max K. O. 4.00 2.4 5-1
7 5 River Front 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Manicomio 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 The Mighty Judge 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Champagneonme 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Break in the Storm 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Mantra 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Robintakincharge 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Timmy M. 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Farley 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bella Tormenta 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Graceful Princess 2.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Baccarat Fashion 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Perfect Kimberly S 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Tiz Possible Dear 4.50 5 9-1
7 7 Nacho Mama 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Pippas Poppy 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Hunt Breakfast 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fury Song 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Arctica 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Donder ‘n Blitzen 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Kayla’s Tune 6.00 4 8-1
11 11 Teacher Drama 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Trinni Flower 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 La Rusia 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Sweet Melissa 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Yolanda’s Pride 12.00 6.1 11-1
12 12 Let’s Go Luna 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Powerful Words 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Silver Tunes 30.00 7.9 15-1
13 13 Dakota Beach 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Strand de Oro 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 R Lovely Julz 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Blossom Bow 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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