September 22, 2019 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Blue Belt | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | We Should Talk | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Five Star Bunt | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jewel Can Disco | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | O Shea Can U See | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Summer Bourbon | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | H Man | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Playthatfunnymusic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ghostly Beauty | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shannon’s Girl | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bean Counter | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blahnik | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Champagne Bliss | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin Beauty | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jasminesque | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mimi and Charley | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | To a Friend | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Gallant Bloom H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Minit to Stardom | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Come Dancing | 0.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Reason | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carrera Cat | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tan and Tight | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bye Bye Nicky | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smack | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Happy Place | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Facts | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kitana | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Erin More | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First in Command | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Bye and Bye | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bellera | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Complicit | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Arch of Troy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Reversethedecision | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bramble Queen | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Victorine (FR) | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tanya’s Gem | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Firenze Freedom | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funnypointofview | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Playtone | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imincomunicado | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Never Heard of Her | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Courted | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allure Fortune | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Malibu Too | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ashley T. Cole S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Offering Plan | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Therapist | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dot Matrix | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gucci Factor | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Voodoo Song | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Red Knight | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dynamax Prime | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Memories of Peter | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Carrizo | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Violencia | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fair Regis | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alisio | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stonesintheroad | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Bronx Tail | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Slimey | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Deal | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cache | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – John Hettinger S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fifty Five | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Munchkin Money | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kreesie | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wegetsdamunnys | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Out of Orbit | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | War Canoe | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wish Upon | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Belle of the Spa | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Classic Lady | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Giant Zinger | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamite Kitten | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Held Accountable | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Six Percent | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Nutzforboltz | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern King | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Hermano | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pipes | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Albie | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Doups Point | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dashing Dan | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Magical Tale | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Colonel | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Curly | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Legion Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bad Guy | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steelersfanforlife | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seven X Tippet | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.