September 22, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chocolate Ride | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Minister’s Strike | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Electro | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barnacle Bill | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Barney Rebel (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beltway Bob | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Bridge | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jump Street Hero | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No More Talk | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sir Brahms | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Thedevilmademedoit | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Teasing Patience (GB) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Fox | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Another Whim | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toogoodoo | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tunstall | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classy But Sassy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ba York | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Verrabella | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bria and Gigi | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Indehere | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Astarte Gold | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Whoisaprettygirl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Helena Beat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lunetta | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bodhicitta | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sybil’s Prophecy | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hide | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Venetian Drive | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetbriar | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Sides | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Russian Melody | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Dixie Drawl | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Animal Kingston | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sky D | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tappahannock | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Elevated Forever | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cairo Holiday | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Native Flora | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Lance | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Justabitunderage | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Payneful | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Decadence | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Multiple | 15.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Zip | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Posterity | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elementary | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Eyck | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Hayes | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dothat Dance | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arkadag | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brooklyn Speights | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wise Men | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hirschbein | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ackeret | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finbar | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Army Grey | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drive At Nite | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jai Blue | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Harlan’s Hunch | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | French’s Quest | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Cause He’s Western | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fifties Music | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quit Your Moanin | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Seattle Ric | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz No Bluff | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Oasis | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dedicated | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Relentless Lion | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Le Gros Bill | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Not Curly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rage Away | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | High Noon Rider | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s One Wild Dude | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Huntin Buddy | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Tito | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redeemed Gentleman | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decisive Triumph | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Passport | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chili Mac N Cheese | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jumping Michelle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Artful Splatter | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jump for Sally | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go Amanda | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crossingthevalley | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Song | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ortinola | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dumtadumtadum | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bold Trek | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Game Break | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leading Man | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shadow Boxer | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Exchange Fever | 1.40 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Im the Game | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Power Back | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Here Comes Mongo | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unbelievable Story | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carthage | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Wheeler Forty Five | 6.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Time | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bypass | 20.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Prospect for Gold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | What About Shorty | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fellow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.