Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 22, 2019

September 22, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Glenn’s Caper 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Lay It On the Line 2.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Jane’s Factor 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Sherry Oriental 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Brilliant Worth 3.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Little Town Blues 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Mighty Mark 8.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Mossbawn 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Self Start 1.20 2.1 4-1
7 6 Blinding 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Cardcounter 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Sunshine Mark 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Ask Chuck 2.50 6 11-1
5 4 Insider 15.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Free for Nothing 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hurricane Jake 1.60 3.7 7-1
4 4 Tempting the Tiger 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Sir Smarty 4.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 My Man Elvis 5.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Cornet 15.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Nonno Pietro 10.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Lusty Dude 6.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Cruise Control 8.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lou’s Chardonnay 1.40 5.5 10-1
4 4 Cognac Cutie 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Congressionalstorm 5.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 La Candelita 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Carry Your Heels 4.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Iron Lilly 10.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Lagrats 20.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Miss Star Lo 15.00 10.1 19-1
8 8 I’m Thirsty 15.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 New Frontier 1.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Long Term Thinking 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Bojingle 12.00 5 9-1
1A 1 Due Gemelli 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Sweet Ride 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Thundershook 6.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Black Light 20.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Geebert 20.00 11 21-1
3A 3 Chubble Gum 15.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Transitive 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Powerful Venezuela 3.50 4 7-1
3 2 Catch Fire 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 3 Wilderness Gate 3.00 5.5 10-1
7 5 Fist of Thor 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Meade 1.80 SCRATCH
4 4 First Degree Burn 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 My Sister’s Keeper 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 She’s Primo 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Veil Dance 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Cardi G 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Royal Current 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Dancingthehnydaway 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Risaalaat 2.50 7.4 14-1
8 8 Risque’s Treasure 20.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Clever Sarah 15.00 10.1 19-1
7A 7 Winning Knockout 2.00 10.7 20-1
11B 11 Willthisshipsail 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Blue Eyed Crystal 15.00 SCRATCH
13A 13 Sunflower Girl 2.00 SCRATCH
14B 14 Iwasbornawinner 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Trunk of Money 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Elevated 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Dancing Bull 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Mr. Romance 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Devine Dental 1.60 5.7 11-1
3 3 Drosselmagic 5.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 True Boldness 3.50 6.7 13-1
4 4 Chasing My Halo 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.