Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 22, 2019

September 22, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Beau’s Beauty 6.00 4 7-1
6 6 Ladies Signature 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 True Castle 2.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Soul Planet 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Golden Vision 2.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Storm Gauge 8.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Countryside Drive 3.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Cerrado 2.50 6.9 13-1
5 5 Spanish Major 3.50 8.3 16-1
4 4 Just for Rose 20.00 8.4 16-1
8 7 Everglow 8.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Je Suis Charlie 20.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Overbearing 10.00 10.1 19-1
3 3 Stop the Humbug 6.00 10.4 20-1
7 7 Bacardi Trick 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bull Page S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Meyer 1.60 2.1 4-1
4 4 Red Fiction 2.00 3 6-1
2 2 Red Giveaway 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Rockcrest 4.00 4 7-1
1 1 Dealmaker 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 In Memory of Floyd 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Just Like Larry 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Blame Ro 2.50 5.6 11-1
3 3 Army Scout 6.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Love of Mine 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Mr Leo 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Warrior’s Heart 12.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Muchokova 3.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Shaman Spirit 20.00 11.8 22-1
10 10 Mr. Diffley 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Trinity Thundah 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Henrytheeighth 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Veloce 4.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Franco’s Honour 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Time to Dance 12.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Northern Solution 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 White Drill 10.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Mazinaw Legend 20.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 A Gershwin Tune 8.00 9.8 18-1
8 8 Criminal Flight 20.00 10.1 19-1
4 4 I Dance Alone 20.00 10.2 19-1
6 6 Silver Moon 12.00 11.6 22-1
13 13 Different Days 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bel Bimbo 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 San Nicola Brew 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ice Blue 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Gun Society 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Go for Mo 4.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Lea Ro 2.50 5.3 10-1
7 6 Kayseri 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Vana Grand 20.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Yours Truly 4.50 8.7 16-1
3 2 Buttered Toast 20.00 11.8 22-1
2 2 A Little Voodoo 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Love That Lute 20.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Differential 2.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Macho Dancer 4.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Coleyville 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Pioneer Man 2.00 5.6 10-1
8 8 Conquest Eliminatr 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Colonel Talbot 10.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Argentium 8.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ontario Damsel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Western Curl 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Intanga Rose 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Amalfi Coast 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bold Script 2.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Dream On Jilly 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Miss Ariel 15.00 7 13-1
4 4 Weed Be Happy 12.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Burbank Road 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Belle Danseuse 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Rince Tapaigh 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Alice’s War 2.50 5.7 11-1
5 5 Close Image 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Stop Who’s That 4.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Silver Sidney 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Cape Mist 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Sailor’s Thought 8.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Water Polo 10.00 3 6-1
9 8 Station Rock 3.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Captain Sidney 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Gasconade 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Bay of Rum 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Silver Sheriff 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Letthebighossroll 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Dancing With Zorro 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Grimgrinnin’ Ghost 10.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Serengeti Cat 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Society’s Tiger 5.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 In View 3.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Courting a Kiss 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Silencium 6.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Vividari 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Captain Handsome 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Now We Are Nine 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Legal Gump 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 True Dat 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Fahrenheit 12.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Sunspear 10.00 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.