October 12, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Close to Me | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Accustomed to Hope | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Royal Nation | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Racin Prayer | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mischievous Girl | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flashyboy’s Lilsis | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ellie’s a Wildcat | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zibeth | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orthodox Beat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Run Far Rylee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Discernment | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Selenas Jewel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Atlantic Ruler | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thirtysix G’s | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stryker Man | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kiss of the Wolf | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cool Individual | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tonights Star | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mucho Marvin | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Drewtempo | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | And Yet Another | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maw Maw’s Sophia | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knight Dash | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Amen | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Beauty | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Matt’s Pride | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Be Gone | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starbuck Luck | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Runner | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lee’s Lassieprayer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grace Forever | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cowgirl Kayla | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | All Star Flyer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Familiar Rhythm | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Split Tens | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Liaison Halo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Take Charge Chase | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Choose No More | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simba’s Pride | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Binding | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Kermit Run | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Boy Johnny | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Debriyn | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Artist by the Sea | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rollwithit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Ta Kela Warning | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Conspicuous Woman | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Tamariu | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Waitin On the Gold | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Starry Ide Elaine | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Charzee Baby | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 10 | And She Scores | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Come On Nancy | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Red Fern Doll | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildnd’moonlight | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Senor Blair | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ship Stalker | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indium | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Factor | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Warrior | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giant Mesa | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grand Marais | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Menewa | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beauty Boy | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Paddy O | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Brookside | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stumberg | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Devilish Sound | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call It Luck | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Betty the Babe | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fanny Box | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zarb’s Winnie | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whitebutton | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Budro Talking | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mageez | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Genghis | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trevilion | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Star | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Misfit | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Much Class | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Rocket | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimi’s a Star | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Stormin | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shesthecatsmeow | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Da Due Run Run | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Day | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Song for Heddings | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mitch’s Pins | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aim Spot | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cry Like a Baby | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Star | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grace of David | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hard Story | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ray’s Kimua | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aunya Ruling | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jack’s Kiss | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Dollar | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whooz the King | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Man E Dubai | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zydeco Star | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clever Prince | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grip Tight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Alma Derby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | King of the Testo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.