October 12, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | New York Hero | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Not Curly | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jorrin | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cause He’s Western | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forty Acres | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Drive At Nite | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harlan’s Hunch | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quit Your Moanin | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Finbar | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chinquapin | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Praise the Moon | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Games | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Eastport | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rumson Rally | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Market Bubble | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seville Barber | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ego Trip | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | To Be Or Not to Be | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gas Money | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paratycachaca | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Passport | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senor Seville | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bandito | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jumping Michelle | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mae Sai Princess | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jump for Sally | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happiness | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Out | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chicken Dinner | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Odd Gal | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Egregious | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Belmullet | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leading Man | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power Back | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midskipman | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carthage | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unbelievable Story | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Encaustic Gem | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fellow | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Berrinche | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tophat N Whitetie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Vern H | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Trotter Road | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lambano | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | I’ll Make U Famous | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pugilist | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cartabianca (FR) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tex Mee a Kiss | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fed Up Fired Up | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Anabella Queen | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ordinary Love | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viradia | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Layla’s Voyage | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | I Dream of Lois | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Southside Warrior | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Team Tim | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Exchange | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kingston Pike | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spartiatis | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Greek God | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | T Sizzle | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Army Grey | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zig | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Height of Thestorm | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kickstartmyheart | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Too Much Minutia | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Don’tbaggagecheck | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Super Holy Juno | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bellatrix’s Wand | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Khalos Vision | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bahamian Royalty | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classy But Sassy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Verrabella | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tunstall | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Helena Beat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ba York | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Splasherstown | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Thedevilmademedoit | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Butterfly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Paul’s Plunder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Glossamer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vics Cool Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Trickle In | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Yougottabekitten | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Proud Mandate | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bruja Bug | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Exchange | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 1.20 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atlantic Avenue | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Third Card Down | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Close the Deal | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kosher Kontract | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Me Darlin Kara | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Campari | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Press Release | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Rose by Any Name | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eliav | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Junior | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | El Rojo | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Lucky Leonard | 6.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ummu Ummu Ummu | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.