October 12, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ice Blue | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frac Attack | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Henrytheeighth | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breed’s Hill | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baddest Blues | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Dance Alone | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Gershwin Tune | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Tap Tango | 10.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Candy Mountain | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Peace Control | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deed’s Legacy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tallulah Darling | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Planet | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Wilburnrubber | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Riot | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dulcibelle (GER) | 4.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Robbi | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chill Out | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Treasure Finder | 20.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Court Time | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Yum Yum | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Brew | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hush Buffy | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Romantic Bliss | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet Bow | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giovanna Ponti | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tallievision | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liddyup | 3.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoxie | 10.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 12 | In View | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tap the Mojo | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Souper Shenanigan | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cause of Action | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alicia’s Kid | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nashtrick | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | White Wedding | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fullthrottle Kid | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Bala Falls | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mambointheforest | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Keen Artie | 6.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Robusto | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Crusader | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Intent to Strike | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Post to Post | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Faith Over Fear | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Appella | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Intermittent | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Marwoods War | 4.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Andher Court | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Timberlea | 6.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alternative View | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Have a Souper Day | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champit | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mine That Star | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Animal Krackers | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Celebratory | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Viature | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uplifting Spirit | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racing in the Rain | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Another Breeze | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Nearctic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Yorkton | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blind Ambition | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Admiralty Pier | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin to Strike | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City Boy | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woody Creek (GB) | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boreal Spirit | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reconfigure | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Richiesinthehouse | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – E. P. Taylor S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Starship Jubilee | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Tea (GB) | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imperial Charm (GB) | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Durance (GER) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Platane (GB) | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gaining (GB) | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A. A. Azula’s Arch | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Helena | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Si Que Es Buena (ARG) | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Secret Message | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pattison Canadian International S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Desert Encounter (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ziyad (GB) | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alounak (FR) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pivoine (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pumpkin Rumble | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nessy | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quality Heat | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Egyptian Nights | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avie’s Samurai | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elite Song | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muskoka Dancer | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Fatima | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Society | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kissmeonemoretime | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Noble Hope | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Ottokar | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Bull | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Four Knights | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jungle Warrior | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viewfinder | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epilogue | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | English Classic | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D Magician | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Encierro | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Immunity | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rocket Plan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lea Ro | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy’s Dream | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen’s Speed | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fashion Fortune | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hold the Applause | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Flute | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Dragon | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Kingdom | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jumping Jill Flash | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Cheeks | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pipestone | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ann of Cleves | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.