November 9, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ray’s Kimua | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Friend of Dubai | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canrunalittle | 1.80 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flash of Pepper | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brazoswildcat | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toocan Dance | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Willy | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kannon’s Bad Boy | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mylie Idel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | St Basil | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amphibian | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Good Air | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Yes Gorgeous | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crescentcitypretty | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Michelle | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tiz the Faith | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | De Last Dance | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suzie’s Dream | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scarlett O’Hara | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shesarockstartoo | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laci Lu | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nun of Ours | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storied Trip | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Casual Pleasure | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Candy Candy | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itybityquikasakity | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goodnight Gracie | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | All Star Flyer | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lone Star Diva | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miss Underrated | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hunter’s Humor | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kapenta | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Watch My Smoke | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Prince | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Star | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One King Cat | 4.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Si Familia | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Passing Simon | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hardly Seen Slim | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Actif One | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shaboxxo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sheer Mayhem | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Krafty Boy | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Vow | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hideaway Hero | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wabash Cannonball | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greeley’s Dealer | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pinch Assault | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fire Lake | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Crocodile Jacques | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Bandini’s Band | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cajun Carmelized | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Absolut Neworleans | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Natealyze | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liaison Halo | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy City | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Dude | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No One Greater | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Little Rockstar | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mack’s Champ | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Production | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Bird | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Happy | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cadillac Frankie | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ain’tseentheball | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alys Appointment | 5.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Man Camp | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beaubouef | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dewey’s Bull | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prayer Boy | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vive Le Roi | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Top Money | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Gentrified | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Adonis Creed | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Tuff Kid | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Forgotten Coast | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Prospector Fever | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Social Misfit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Just Stormin | 2.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Menewa | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Buggin Out | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aizhai | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Outrun | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thunder and Rain | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Opportunity Cost | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Run for Three | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Adrian Run | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Houdini | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Harlan | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Money Honey | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hanging Lake | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Granfathersleugirl | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bama Girl | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | G Nanny | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Zarby | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zugersee | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Old Time Girl | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ideal Mallory | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smart N Holy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wild Bottom Blues | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.