Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, November 11, 2019

November 11, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pecan Pattie 1.20 1.9 4-1
8 8 Graceygab 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Evil Woman 3.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Dazzle Me 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Bearing Secrets 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Postino’s Idol 10.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Rose of Dublin 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Bamboo Garden 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Honor and Courage 1.20 2.3 4-1
4 4 Trance 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Quench My Thirst 4.50 5 9-1
7 7 Daddy’s Placer 2.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sadler Bay 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Sacrificing It All 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Spider Jorgensen 10.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Carpenter 30.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hail to Leader 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Dance and Dance 4.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Roselba 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Odd Gal 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Cawaja Time 2.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Valid Treasure 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Posseineffecttoo 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Empress of Fortune 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Malandrina 3.50 4 8-1
3 2 Lady Greatness 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Rio Vista 8.00 5 9-1
2 1 Initforthelonghaul 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Miss Lamborghini 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Sandy Mischief 1.80 5.9 11-1
8 7 Singing Sarah 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 8 Crystal Pier 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Miss Star Lo 20.00 9 17-1
5 4 Echale Salsita 20.00 9.2 17-1
1A 9 I’m Thirsty 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 V. I. P. Code 1.60 2.8 5-1
4 4 Mantle 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Slot 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Gilded Warrior 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Blinding 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Hatteras Bound 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 So Hot 15.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Diamond Setter 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Fire Mission 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Pointer 2.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Adulation 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Regal Quality 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Strong Breeze 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 A J’s Way 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Inky Dinky Do 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Asphalt Paving 30.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Wild Man 8.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Long May You Run 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Admiral Abe 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Smokin Nitro 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Dancing Bull 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Cowboy Mz 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Bang the Drum 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Jw’strickymischief 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Red Razzo 5.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Against the Odds 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Drosselmagic 10.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Two Item Maker 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Stay Smart 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Dreamer’s Moon 4.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Shoobiedoobydoo 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Izzadora Bella 12.00 6 11-1
1 3 Afleet Destiny 2.50 6.3 12-1
7 6 Trailblazer 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Diva Drama 15.00 7.4 14-1
1A 7 Like a Pro 2.50 SCRATCH
4 3 She Makes Me Smile 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chelios 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 R Jolley Dreamer 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Ninetyeightoctane 2.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Samadi Sky 3.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Hot N Spicy Love 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Sunshine Mark 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Pegasus Red 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Truly a Moon Shot 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 The Silent One 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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