Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, November 12, 2019

November 12, 2019 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Graveyard Shift 1.60 2.6 5-1
1A 7 Salsita Roja 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 Glinda 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 6 Iwasbornawinner 3.00 4.5 9-1
7 8 Streak of Kitten 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Skookie 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Knight Tales 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 9 Our Juliet 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 High Math 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Country Squire 2.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Ring Necked 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Don Camillo 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Clowney 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Jack O Liam 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Offlee Cloudy 2.50 5.1 10-1
9 10 The Money Train 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Army Man 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Fleet First 30.00 6.9 13-1
1A 9 Belly Dancer 4.50 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pinkout 1.80 3 6-1
4 4 R Lucky Charm 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Love On Fire 6.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Sheplaysthefield 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Rochela 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Gracias Adios 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 La Candelita 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Known But to God 4.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Shoreline 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Tricky Gamble 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Catapult Jack 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Blaze a Trail 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Ami’s Artie 2.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Pappa Rox 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Cloudy Saturday 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Proudmiamicitizen 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 De Punta a Punta 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Violent Turbulence 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Indy’s Jewel 4.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Irish Cork 6.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Max Player 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Ashraq 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Traffic Count 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 A Gray for Carolyn 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Invitation Only 12.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 Littlemissbusiness 1.50 2.9 5-1
2 1 Royalty for Life 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Lendar 6.00 4.1 8-1
1A 7 Rithm Box 1.50 4.4 8-1
7 5 Jemrose 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Dan’s Girl 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Big Red Seven 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Anissa 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Only Essa 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Keeping the Peace 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Press My Bets 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Splicethemainbrace 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Bojingle 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 1 For the Road 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Tally Mo 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 2 War Tocsin 10.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 E J’s Revenge 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Screen Saver 20.00 6.5 12-1
1A 3 Black Light 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Won and Done 1.80 2.4 5-1
3 2 Admiral Lynch 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Shane’s Jewel 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 6 Monteleone 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 Winning the Medal 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 3 Take Your Place 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 5 Puttheglassdown 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Spirit Special 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 South Sea 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 Corn Off the Cob 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Littlebitalily 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 10 She’smyrisenstar 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Northern Heart 2.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Knock Out Kid 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Congaree Rose 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Victoria E 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 Helotes 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 8 Risque Express 4.50 7.8 15-1
7 6 Sweet Lilly Factum 30.00 8.3 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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