November 13, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Hip Four O Four | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Scrimmage | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Pearlthirtyeight | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Johnnysjourney | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
10 | 10 | Call Me Dusty | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Gone Wishin | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Heavy Traffic | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | Clever Prince | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
6 | 6 | Trophy Daddy | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Costa Alot | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
11 | 11 | Hard Story | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Gotta A. P. B. | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Jalen Hurts | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Reversaloffortune | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Trapper Peak | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Not Today Alfie | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Blaising Guitar | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
10 | 10 | Star Yankee | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Gobler | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
1 | 1 | Big Cane | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | In Charge Halo | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
7 | 7 | Canyon Fire | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Enduring Lady | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Starbuck Luck | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Saber Queen | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Lee’s Lassieprayer | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cabeza de Tortuga | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | Interatifwithleu | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
10 | 9 | Blue Ridge Legacy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
6 | 5 | Daring Darian | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
9 | 8 | Running Rosado | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Nonchalantly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | G’s Deadline | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Southern Galaxy | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | J P’s Pride (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Tapit Wicked | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
10 | 10 | Starship Zeus | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Vinyl | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Buck Dynasty | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Ship Stalker | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Valyrian | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Applewood | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | Paynt Battle | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Destinedtobeastar | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
11 | 11 | Dream Halo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Tez | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Charmin Dixie | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Cuckoo Kenia | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Celtic Lass | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lookout Mountain | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Harper Bee | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | Shop Around Sue | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Pitcher | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Word of the Day | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Showreel (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Elektracutioner | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Half a Million | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
9 | 9 | Untethered Soul | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
8 | 8 | Doc’s Rocket | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Poopsie Doopsie | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | My Ruston | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Basket of Dreams | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Ole Black Magic | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
5 | 5 | Starry Ide Elaine | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Starship Impulse | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Ta Kela Warning | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
1 | 8 | Star Performer | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Heaven’s Creation | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
1A | 11 | Jaded Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 3 | Facets of Ice | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
8 | 7 | Bernadettes Vision | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
7 | 6 | Active Girl | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
2 | 1 | Come On Nancy | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
9 | 9 | Greeley’s Doll | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
10 | 10 | Promise Tender | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | New Orleans Spice | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Miss Bitters | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Moonfield | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Maybe I Can | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Fleeta Belle | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Preemptive | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Atchata | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Aloha Betty | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Wild Mallory | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
8 | 8 | Rockin Sunday | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | My Sister Annette | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Blowing Bayou | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
7 | 7 | Ella’s Lil Star | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Quiet Trip | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
4 | 4 | Racin Prayer | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Silver Squall | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Holdonaminit | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
10 | 10 | Christeana’s Kiss | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Jozzy Bell | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
5 | 5 | Millie Bee | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Velvet Vision | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Slew City Susie | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
7 | 7 | Sweet Milagros | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Bobbies Reason | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Angel Cat | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
11 | 11 | Redding Well | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Bulletsandbourbon | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.