Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 13, 2019

November 13, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hip Four O Four 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Scrimmage 3.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Pearlthirtyeight 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 Johnnysjourney 3.50 5.3 10-1
10 10 Call Me Dusty 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Gone Wishin 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Heavy Traffic 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Clever Prince 12.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Trophy Daddy 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Costa Alot 15.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Hard Story 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Gotta A. P. B. 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jalen Hurts 2.50 4 7-1
6 6 Reversaloffortune 4.50 4 7-1
5 5 Trapper Peak 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Not Today Alfie 6.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Blaising Guitar 10.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Star Yankee 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Gobler 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Big Cane 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 In Charge Halo 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Canyon Fire 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Enduring Lady 3.50 3.8 7-1
8 7 Starbuck Luck 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Saber Queen 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 6 Lee’s Lassieprayer 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Cabeza de Tortuga 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Interatifwithleu 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 9 Blue Ridge Legacy 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Daring Darian 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Running Rosado 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Nonchalantly 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 G’s Deadline 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Southern Galaxy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 J P’s Pride (IRE) 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Tapit Wicked 4.50 3.7 7-1
10 10 Starship Zeus 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Vinyl 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 9 Buck Dynasty 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Ship Stalker 10.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Valyrian 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Applewood 10.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Paynt Battle 8.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Destinedtobeastar 15.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Dream Halo 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tez 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Charmin Dixie 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Cuckoo Kenia 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Celtic Lass 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Lookout Mountain 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Harper Bee 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Shop Around Sue 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Pitcher 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Word of the Day 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Showreel (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Elektracutioner 4.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Half a Million 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Untethered Soul 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Doc’s Rocket 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Poopsie Doopsie 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 My Ruston 12.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Basket of Dreams 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ole Black Magic 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Starry Ide Elaine 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Starship Impulse 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Ta Kela Warning 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 8 Star Performer 6.00 5 9-1
5 4 Heaven’s Creation 5.00 5.2 10-1
1A 11 Jaded Rose 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Facets of Ice 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Bernadettes Vision 10.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 Active Girl 8.00 7 13-1
2 1 Come On Nancy 4.50 8.3 16-1
9 9 Greeley’s Doll 12.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Promise Tender 15.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 New Orleans Spice 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Miss Bitters 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Moonfield 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Maybe I Can 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Fleeta Belle 2.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Preemptive 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Atchata 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Musket’s Cup Cake 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Aloha Betty 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Wild Mallory 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Rockin Sunday 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 My Sister Annette 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Blowing Bayou 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Ella’s Lil Star 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Quiet Trip 5.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Racin Prayer 15.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Silver Squall 12.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Holdonaminit 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Brahms’ Regal Gal 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Christeana’s Kiss 3.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Jozzy Bell 3.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Millie Bee 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Velvet Vision 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Slew City Susie 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Sweet Milagros 12.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Bobbies Reason 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Angel Cat 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Redding Well 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bulletsandbourbon 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.