November 16, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Punk Rock Princess | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olive’s Bumpa | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New York Rock Star | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Slick Chick | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valle Luna | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nurse Betty | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moravian Prayer | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stormin Hongkong | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Antrim Aubrey | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome D J | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bandito | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Closer Look | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caladan | 2.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Threethehardway | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lion Lord | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uplifting | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elusive Hero | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charging Lion | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sound Off | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kingston Pike | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blame the Kids | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Finbar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hello Amigo | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Benintendi | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Nekia | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kukulkan | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blueridge Mountain | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lotto | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Rusty Raymond | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carson and I | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rockstar Girl | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mandette | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caira | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Esterina | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confidently | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ivanya | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mamma Dee | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Janelle Dreams | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hunting Season | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – James F. Lewis Iii S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Raging Whiskey | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Newstome | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reform School | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Informative | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bernie’s On Fire | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Back in Black | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t Wasting Time | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tuggle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Warrior’s Reward Smart Halo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cofactor | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Letsstaypositive | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Still Alive | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ilchester Cheetah | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cruise and Danze | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Always Something | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Trinity | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Fortune | 2.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nico Bree N Teej | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marco Island | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Totalitario | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparty | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tom Hagen | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harpers First Ride | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crouchelli | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jump Jive an Wail | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carolina Ice | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eye of the Wildcat | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bird Traffic | 1.40 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cassidy Ave | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Annie Boo Boo | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lulu’s On the Move | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Tweet | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ortinola | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.