November 22, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Allthewaywithtaye | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tojo | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Motive | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pre Heat | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Clever | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bet Again | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dyna Ghost | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Callmechamp | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr Hesse | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Snoop Three Socks | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lauriano | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Emma’s Logic | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Gentrified | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Philly | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Adonis Creed | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Chiseled | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Forgotten Coast | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Senor Blair | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Point Hope | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Magnanimus Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smart Pegasus | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shesarockstartoo | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Now Estella | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Amen | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jet Sweep | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zola | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American Rebel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wildabout Audrey | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | St Maria | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madelyn’s Moment | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | All Star Flyer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Louisiana Special | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hatties Jewel | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Watch My Smoke | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Zapper | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ben’s Magic Stone | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Montbrooks Miracle | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Appeal | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drewsizzle | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Devil’s Pay | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stanton C | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | McIlhenny | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Weavemeawinr | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ide B a Soldier | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devilish Sound | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deep End | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proudmoney | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kaydees in Town | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Betty the Babe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cool Deal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zarb’s Winnie | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Z Pride | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mimi’s Song | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honey Hearts | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Given Kisses | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C C’s Baby Girl | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swinging Bridge | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mintappearence | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jolie Gee | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shanghai Woman | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tizzy’s Song | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seaside Surprise | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bistraya | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wayfaring Stranger | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greeley’s Banker | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pickett | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taken Back | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | See Carlos Run | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fire Makers Star | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Book | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whatdatpay Ray | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prizeless | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Four Sevens | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mikey’s Mouse | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – My Trusty Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Trixie Racer | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Glimmering | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thirsty My Friend | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Majestic Edge | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High On Gin | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Green Destiny | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sebs Princess | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wheres Mom | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizsfranderella | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Film Study | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hey Siri | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Marama | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hyper Piper | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yes Gorgeous | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Best Kept Secret | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Suade Guitar | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swiftown Miss | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Temple Shadow | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Perdido Key | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suzie’s Dream | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Taste for Talent | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Erik the Red | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Greeley’s Dealer | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Sky | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mizztic Tale | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pinch Assault | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fusaichi Flame | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Exton | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Strawn’s Cash | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Bling | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.