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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 22, 2019

November 22, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Allthewaywithtaye 2.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Tojo 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Our Motive 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Pre Heat 5.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 La Clever 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Bet Again 6.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Dyna Ghost 10.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Callmechamp 20.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Dr Hesse 20.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Snoop Three Socks 15.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Lauriano 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Emma’s Logic 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Gentrified 3.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Philly 4.00 3.6 7-1
1A 4 Adonis Creed 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 2 Chiseled 3.50 6 11-1
6 3 Forgotten Coast 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Senor Blair 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Bitsy’s Carlos 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Point Hope 5.00 7.5 14-1
8 9 Magnanimus Man 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Smart Pegasus 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Shesarockstartoo 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Run Now Estella 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Our Amen 4.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Jet Sweep 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Zola 5.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 American Rebel 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Wildabout Audrey 12.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 St Maria 12.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Madelyn’s Moment 15.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 All Star Flyer 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Louisiana Special 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hatties Jewel 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Watch My Smoke 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Hot Zapper 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Ben’s Magic Stone 3.00 7 13-1
3 3 Montbrooks Miracle 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Summer Appeal 8.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Drewsizzle 3.50 8.2 15-1
7 7 Devil’s Pay 12.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Stanton C 15.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 McIlhenny 2.50 4.8 9-1
10 10 Weavemeawinr 12.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Ide B a Soldier 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Devilish Sound 5.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Deep End 6.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Proudmoney 8.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Kaydees in Town 8.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Betty the Babe 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cool Deal 20.00 9 17-1
4 4 Zarb’s Winnie 15.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Z Pride 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mimi’s Song 3.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Honey Hearts 4.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Given Kisses 6.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 C C’s Baby Girl 6.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Swinging Bridge 10.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Mintappearence 10.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Jolie Gee 15.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Shanghai Woman 12.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Tizzy’s Song 5.00 9.4 18-1
1 1 Seaside Surprise 20.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bistraya 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Wayfaring Stranger 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Greeley’s Banker 4.50 6.3 12-1
9 9 Pickett 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Taken Back 4.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 See Carlos Run 10.00 7 13-1
5 5 Fire Makers Star 12.00 9 17-1
4 4 My Book 10.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Whatdatpay Ray 5.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Prizeless 12.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Mr. Four Sevens 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mikey’s Mouse 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – My Trusty Cat S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Trixie Racer 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Gone Glimmering 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Thirsty My Friend 4.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Majestic Edge 12.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 High On Gin 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Green Destiny 6.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Sebs Princess 12.00 8 15-1
8 8 Wheres Mom 12.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Tizsfranderella 12.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Film Study 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hey Siri 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Marama 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hyper Piper 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Yes Gorgeous 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Best Kept Secret 3.50 5 9-1
6 6 Blue Suade Guitar 3.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Swiftown Miss 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Temple Shadow 5.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Miss Perdido Key 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Suzie’s Dream 10.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Taste for Talent 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Erik the Red 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Greeley’s Dealer 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Great Sky 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Mizztic Tale 4.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Pinch Assault 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Fusaichi Flame 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Exton 12.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Strawn’s Cash 12.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Custom Bling 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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