November 28, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ike Walker | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Got Gold | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Over Funded | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Little Toe | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dad Said No | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Grand Marais | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Reigning Warrior | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raise Em Up | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grand Argument | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mosta Flyin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Senor Blanco | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Trumpi | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Resilient Rick | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Tappy | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Moonlight Mischief | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cadet Captain | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Vow | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gato Americano | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Baires Boy | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Briar Jumper | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | A He’s an O’Prado | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | West Village | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dutchman | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broken Key | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Forty Nine Model | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scarlett O’Hara | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Artie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commercial Flash | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Baby Bele | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vacherie Girl | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chanson La Belle | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charsey | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Miss Underrated | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ezee Enough | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aubee Grand | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cyber City | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Maw Maw’s Sophia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Special Connection | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sincerity | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Decadent Diamond | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spartanburg | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gabby’s Half | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sabe Marcelete | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toomuch | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Feline | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Swifty Cat | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Gio Angel | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Louisiane | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marywood | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Forgotten | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elle Corredora | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nickys Guitar | 20.00 | 13 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Bulletsandbourbon | 30.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Witty Cry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Wasnt Joking | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Baudette Blizzard | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Quarter | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Binding Agreement | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whacudposblygowrng | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Redemption | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gem of Carlos | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tucker the Grouch | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Britts a Closer | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Cat | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Keys to the Palace | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tay Tays Pick | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’suptoyoupal | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jax Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sir Pokerface | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Loveu and Proudofu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Alterana | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dancehall Jack | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Three Run Homer | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Royal Rocket | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jus Dream Big | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Neon Sky | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confederate Yell | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joemo | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Pinata | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chambliss | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Changi | 3.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pancho’s Lucky Boy | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Looking for Bull | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kid Creole | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | My First Guitar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Jacobs Flyer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Zenucci | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Thanksgiving Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Bobby’s Wicked One | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tringale | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sonic Mule | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wilbo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Artie’s Rumor | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Another Mystery | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sonic Boom | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Herecomesyourman | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Botswana | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rescind | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frankincense | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Remembermis | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Baratti | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Foldover | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Spiritual Warfare | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Killeen | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sun Lover (GB) | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tackett | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Prospector Fever | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dictator | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wild Union | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truculent | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tactician | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Natural History | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous Mo | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Czar | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bring Me a Check | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Supremo | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drewpower | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wild Cat West | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.