November 29, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tommytoshort | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half Trick | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Current | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Command Code | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aloo Ghost | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Ducky | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | History Earned | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Date | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Roux | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Buddy Rocket | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Color Me Pretty | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soaring Now | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cause to Wonder | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fancy Pants Jen | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kenzie Blake | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizz Tutu | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sage’s Epiphany | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Flor | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stumberg | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baylor | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Love Bound | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | New Year’s Party | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Squall | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kentucky Steal | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jus Socks | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rebeccas Truth | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trefoil | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cohenscollegefund | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Love Conquers | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harbor Pilot | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jack Snipe’s | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fire Lake | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bailey’s Power | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | T’ Cadeau | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Prophet | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Senator Con | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sand Pit Road | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Im a Cowboy Too | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Moon | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Bingo | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My First Guitar | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Chase for the Gold | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Outofmybind | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Aw Ite | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Pickens | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Too Much Bourbon | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Free Indeed | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Atta Bouy | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Buy In | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Louisiana Hero | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Golden Palace | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Appealing Audrey | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Repatriated Gem (GB) | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glance | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer in Saratoga | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Room to Finish | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spider Dance | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Landon | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Novella | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | B’s Ten | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Sooner Girl | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deyonce | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bev’s Humor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Magic Man’s Touch | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fair Catch | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Liam | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Winning Impression | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kingpin | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Man of Honor | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Incorruptible | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legendary Hero | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Pole Setter | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Pride | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parlor | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clint Maroon (GB) | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mick’s Star | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sailing Solo | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Wide Open (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zambian | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apricot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Zero Gravity | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Orange Twister | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | G’s Mine | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Special Connection | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sincerity | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maw Maw’s Sophia | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gifted Talent | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lone Star Diva | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’saholyroller | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Decadent Diamond | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | One Fast Song | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Missgreeley’ssong | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star’s Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.