November 29, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sapphire Shilling | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Treasure | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One More Tom | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nick Papagiorgio | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Threethehardway | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucid Dream | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Biz Nasty | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy King | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Top Me Off | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tappahannock | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin’s Knight | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Here Comes Mongo | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mabel’s Fable | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Expect Talk | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thirsty Again | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunfest | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Not Interested | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iam a Dancer | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’tfence Me In | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sergio’s Panchita | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gallanor | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crossingthevalley | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sybil’s Prophecy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Command | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Do Good | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Conquesthardcherry | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Party Girl | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess A’go Go | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Cowboy Mz | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Y Gold (ARG) | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winplaceorshowono | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Your Place | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’s the Journey | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Linda’s Nekia | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impactful | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Nottoway | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cause I’m Edgy | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friend Me Charlie | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dat Dares Gold | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lookin Perfect | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Sixteen | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Had the Notion | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Three Hawk | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vanidosa | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Chloe G | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tapping the Kitty | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fender Baby | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wee Monie Creek | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greasedlightning | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jazzy Juder | 2.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reiltin Oir | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hug a Tree | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barbsgray Lion | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alphabetting | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chicken Dinner | 1.80 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Priss | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weekend Flyer | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majorie Mugs | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slowpoke | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Estrella Grande | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smoochin Candy | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Silent Fluidity | 1.60 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kickstartmyheart | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gottahaveaholiday | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hickory Made | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Margarita | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dajem | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bodette | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tapittizer R V F | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.